Raman widens lead over Bass in LA mayoral race as undecided voters surge

Nithya Raman holds an 11-point lead over Mayor Karen Bass in the latest Berkeley IGS/L.A. Times poll, but 33% of voters remain undecided. Bass faces a 63% unfavorable rating, while Raman dominates younger demographics. The race remains tight due to high undecided numbers and geographic splits.
Key points
- Raman leads Bass 39% to 28% in the latest poll, with 33% undecided.
- Bass has a 63% unfavorable rating, compared to Raman’s 39%.
- Raman dominates voters under 50, while Bass leads those 65 and older.
- 63% of Spencer Pratt’s primary supporters remain undecided.
- Mail-in ballots begin Oct. 1, with the election on Nov. 3.
Background
Raman trailed Bass in most primary polls but placed second in the June 2 primary. Bass’s approval has declined since the 2025 Palisades fire, which killed 12 people and destroyed over 4,000 homes. Raman recently gained endorsements from the DSA, carpenters’ union, and Unite Here Local 11.
How outlets are covering it
The L.A. Times and NBC Los Angeles highlight Raman’s momentum and Bass’s low favorability. Fox News emphasizes Raman’s DSA affiliation and Pratt’s prediction that Raman would beat Bass. Bass’s campaign dismisses the poll as an outlier, citing previous polls where she led and arguing online surveys undercount working-class and senior voters. DiCamillo notes the high undecided count is unusual but keeps the race competitive.
Why it matters
The outcome will shape Los Angeles’ approach to housing, homelessness, and public safety. Raman’s lead suggests a potential shift in city leadership, while Bass’s strong support among older voters and geographic pockets indicates a contested race. The high undecided percentage means late-breaking developments could sway the result.
What to watch
Mail-in ballots begin Oct. 1. Both campaigns will target undecided voters, especially Pratt supporters. Bass’s campaign will focus on her record and geographic strongholds, while Raman will emphasize change and younger voter support. The election is Nov. 3.
- Raman takes big lead over Bass in latest poll for L.A. mayor’s race Los Angeles Times
- Spencer Pratt warns 'good luck LA' after new poll vindicates his stunning prediction Fox News
- Raman opens wide lead over Bass in Los Angeles mayor’s race, poll shows KTLA
- Bass trails Raman in Los Angeles mayor’s race: Poll The Hill
- Nithya Raman holds lead over Karen Bass in new poll on LA mayor election NBC Los Angeles
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