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Polling

All articles tagged with #polling

politics3 days ago

Democrats Walk a Border Line as ICE Divides the Party

Democrats have found a border-friendly message but remain split on ICE, with moderates pushing safeguards and accountability while some progressives seek abolition or deep reform. Polls show limited backing for abolition among undecided voters, and battleground candidates in states like Maine, Michigan, Texas and Minnesota are carefully balancing the base with swing voters as immigration policy stays a central issue heading toward the 2028 path and 2026 midterms.

via Politico|
#democrats#ice#immigration
Americans Move Against AI Data Centers in Nationwide Poll
technology4 days ago

Americans Move Against AI Data Centers in Nationwide Poll

A new Embold Research poll, published by Heatmap Pro, finds 75% of Americans oppose building AI data centers in their area, with 61% strongly opposing, a dramatic shift from one year earlier when opposition was at 42%; the reversal spans Republicans, Democrats, and independents and across demographics, prompting observers to call it an unprecedented rapid change in public opinion on tech infrastructure.

via Common Dreams|
#artificial-intelligence#big-tech#data-centers
Three-Quarters of Americans Oppose Nearby Data Centers, Poll Finds
politics4 days ago

Three-Quarters of Americans Oppose Nearby Data Centers, Poll Finds

A Heatmap Pro poll by Embold Research finds 75% of Americans oppose a new local data center near their home, with strong opposition across age, gender, income, and party lines and a notable rural-urban divide. Only 4% would strongly support such a project. The survey of 2,045 registered voters has a margin of error of ±2.3 percentage points, and the rapid backlash has drawn political attention and spurred moratoriums and debates over AI infrastructure.

via Heatmap News|
#data-centers#embold-research#heatmap-pro
Dem Internal Poll Shows Jolly Narrowly Ahead of Donalds in Florida Race
florida-politics5 days ago

Dem Internal Poll Shows Jolly Narrowly Ahead of Donalds in Florida Race

An internal Democratic Governors Association poll conducted Aug. 10–13 by Hart Research Associates finds Democrat David Jolly leading Republican Byron Donalds by 1 point (46% to 45%) in a Florida-leaning sample (R+12). The survey casts Jolly as having broader appeal to independents and Hispanics, while Donalds is seen unfavorably by more voters. It notes potential crossover voting from Republicans (about 18%), a spending edge for Donalds, and suggests a tougher, more ambiguous race than public polls that show Donalds ahead.

via Florida Politics|
#byron-donalds#david-jolly#democratic-governors-association
Hidden polls, high stakes: the danger of unvetted election surveys
politics6 days ago

Hidden polls, high stakes: the danger of unvetted election surveys

AP News reports that a mysterious outfit called Median Strategies circulated fake polls with opaque methods, highlighting how unvetted surveys can mislead voters and donors and distort the election conversation. The piece stresses the lack of transparency around sample design and data sources, warning readers and media outlets to scrutinize poll credibility—an especially timely caution amid the 2026 election landscape.

via AP News|
#elections#media-literacy#median-strategies
Markey Extends Lead Over Moulton in Mass. Democratic Primary Poll
politics7 days ago

Markey Extends Lead Over Moulton in Mass. Democratic Primary Poll

In a Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll ahead of the September Massachusetts Democratic primary, incumbent Sen. Ed Markey leads Rep. Seth Moulton 52.2% to 38%, up from 47%–30% in April, with Markey's margin widening. The survey also queried opinions on Markey's age, other state leaders, major issues, November ballot questions, and the 2028 Democratic presidential primary.

via bostonglobe.com|
#democratic-primary#ed-markey#massachusetts
Trump’s Midterm Dilemma: War, Inflation and Vanity Projects Threaten GOP Prospects
politics9 days ago

Trump’s Midterm Dilemma: War, Inflation and Vanity Projects Threaten GOP Prospects

Trump once seen as a political savant faces a difficult midterm moment as costly Middle East engagements, rising living costs, and self-promotional projects dominate headlines. With his approval sinking in polls and GOP fears rising about losing the House (and risking the Senate), critics say the administration’s wars and spending are hurting the party. Meanwhile, Trump’s personal wealth from business interests provides a counterpoint to the political headwinds, even as insiders warn his focus on monuments and branding could undermine his party’s messaging.

via The Guardian|
#cost-of-living#foreign-policy#midterms
Polls Miss Mark as Wisconsin, Michigan Primaries Defy Expectations
politics12 days ago

Polls Miss Mark as Wisconsin, Michigan Primaries Defy Expectations

Wisconsin’s gubernatorial race defied polls, with Francesca Hong losing by less than 1 point after forecasts of a wide win; Michigan’s Abdul El-Sayed won the Senate primary by 1 point despite double-digit polling leads; Minnesota’s Peggy Flanagan won the U.S. Senate primary by about 20 points. The episodes illustrate spectacular polling and prediction-market misses amid a progressive surge in Democratic politics and open-primary dynamics.

via CNBC|
#michigan#politics#polling
Wisconsin primary shock exposes polling blind spots for progressives
politics12 days ago

Wisconsin primary shock exposes polling blind spots for progressives

Francesca Hong, a progressive candidate, led Wisconsin’s Democratic gubernatorial primary by double digits in recent polls but was edged out by Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley by 0.5 percentage points. The result raises questions about polling accuracy for progressive candidates and suggests late shifts, endorsements, and strategic voting may have helped Crowley overturn a large polling lead.

via The Washington Post|
#david-crowley#francesca-hong#gubernatorial-elections
Internal Polls That Outpaced the Headlines in 2026 Primaries
politics13 days ago

Internal Polls That Outpaced the Headlines in 2026 Primaries

Candidate-backed internal polls have helped shape coverage as mainstream polling wanes, but Public Policy Polling’s internals have repeatedly tracked or closely matched actual outcomes across multiple 2026 races (Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, Texas, Iowa, Colorado), even when scenarios adjusted for turnout. Other outfits like SurveyUSA missed and misfires cropped up in Maine and Michigan. The piece argues PPP’s track record stands out in a year of polling volatility, while cautioning that relying on internal polls without context can still mislead.

via Washington Monthly|
#internal-polls#minnesota#politics
Hong Leads Wisconsin Governor Primary by 22 Points, State Navigate Poll Finds
politics17 days ago

Hong Leads Wisconsin Governor Primary by 22 Points, State Navigate Poll Finds

State Navigate's final Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial poll shows Francesca Hong with a 22-point lead four days before the primary, a result that aligns with a Marquette Law School poll and follows Mandela Barnes’s withdrawal; amid national polling volatility after Michigan’s miss, the survey underscores Hong’s strong position entering Election Day.

via State Navigate|
#democratic-primary#francesca-hong#politics