Trump Launches 32-Day Midterm Blitz Amid Record-Low Approval and Economic Strain

Key points

• Trump started a 32-day campaign tour ahead of the November 3 midterm elections, visiting Texas and Oklahoma.
• His approval ratings have hit record lows, with only 26% approving of his handling of the economy.
• 71% of Americans disapprove of the US-Israel war on Iran, which has driven up fuel prices.
• Trump is positioning himself as central to the Republican midterm strategy, urging voters to treat him as if he were on the ballot.
• He highlighted social issues and data center expansion, despite bipartisan concerns over AI's environmental impact.

Background

In late September, Trump's approval ratings collapsed to historic lows, with multiple polls showing a sharp decline in the final stretch before the November midterms. A Reuters/Ipsos survey recorded a 32% approval rating, while an Economist/YouGov poll saw a five-point drop to 35%. The decline was attributed to rising gas prices, tariff impacts, and the ongoing conflict in Iran. Democrats gained a double-digit lead in generic congressional ballots, signaling significant risks for the Republican Party's efforts to retain control of Congress. Additionally, some Republican candidates, like Florida gubernatorial candidate Byron Donalds, began distancing themselves from Trump due to his unpopularity.

How outlets are covering it

Al Jazeera emphasizes the impact of the Iran war and economic strain on Trump's approval ratings, noting that 71% of Americans disapprove of the war and only 26% approve of his handling of the economy. AP News highlights Trump's campaign strategy, focusing on his efforts to energize Republican voters in red states. The Washington Post notes that Trump's rally blitz reflects poor GOP prospects, with Democrats gaining a significant lead in generic congressional ballots. KOCO focuses on the local impact of Trump's visit to Oklahoma, noting that some Republican candidates, like gubernatorial candidate Mike Mazzei, have broken with Trump on certain issues, such as foreign beef imports.

Why it matters

The midterm elections are crucial for determining the balance of power in Congress, which will impact Trump's legislative agenda in the final two years of his second term. Losing Republican control of either chamber could create roadblocks for his policies. Additionally, Trump's low approval ratings and the economic strain caused by the Iran war and tariffs could have long-term implications for the Republican Party's future electoral prospects.

What to watch

Trump is expected to continue his 32-day campaign tour, visiting states such as Alabama, Ohio, and Nebraska. The November 3 midterm elections will determine the balance of power in Congress, with all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats up for grabs. The outcome of these elections will significantly impact Trump's ability to push through his legislative agenda in the final two years of his second term.