Experts Warn Regime-Change Gamble Faces High Risks After U.S.-Israel Strikes on Iran

TL;DR
A CFR-curated set of expert analyses argues that while the U.S.-Israel strikes may degrade Iran’s capabilities, toppling the Islamic Republic from air power alone is unlikely; diplomacy had been advancing before the attack, and Iran’s leadership may survive despite damage, risking a prolonged, costly regional war with unpredictable retaliation, Gulf-state hedging, and broader instability across the Middle East.
- Gauging the Impact of Massive U.S.-Israeli Strikes on Iran Council on Foreign Relations
- Opinion | War With Iran Is a Mistake - The New York Times The New York Times
- February 27, 2026 - Trump administration updates CNN
- US military builds up the largest force of warships and aircraft in the Middle East in decades AP News
- Opinion | The rotten case for war with Iran The Washington Post
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