Three Forces Could Change Iran’s Protests

CNN’s analysis argues that Iran’s current unrest differs from prior uprisings because three dynamics are at play: the Islamic Republic is weaker after its regional Gaza-Israel conflict and related strikes; a looming succession crisis around aging Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei threatens decision-making; and there is now a credible external threat from the United States that could alter calculations. Together with steadfast protesters, a repressive security apparatus, and mounting U.S. pressure, these forces could push political change without guaranteeing an immediate collapse.