Trump Team Bets on Strait of Hormuz Reopening Within 30 Days, Analysts Warn of Slow Recovery

TL;DR Summary
The Trump team says the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal shipping within a month, but shipping analysts project only about 40% of prewar traffic in that timeframe, with full normalization not expected until well into 2027. Key concerns include mines, roughly 600 ships still trapped, ongoing tolls negotiations, and questions about how quickly tankers will re-enter the Gulf after demining.
- Trump team promises normal traffic in Strait of Hormuz within a month. Shipping officials project 50% at best. Yahoo Finance
- Three reasons ships are not sailing through the Strait of Hormuz yet BBC
- Shipping exec says industry needs assurances Strait of Hormuz will be safe NPR
- Fear of Naval Mines in Strait of Hormuz May Outlast War The New York Times
- US at Odds With Allies Over How Easy It Is to Reopen Hormuz Bloomberg
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