Assessing the Future of the Russia-Ukraine War.

TL;DR Summary
The direction of the Russia-Ukraine war will depend on Ukraine's counteroffensive. If Ukraine stalls, it could lead to discussions with Russia and a temporary cease-fire, resulting in a frozen conflict. A peace deal is possible, but Putin is "in too deep" to extract himself from the war without clear successes. Ukraine's goal is to take back all Russian-occupied parts of the country, including Crimea, making a peace deal unlikely.
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