Iran War Endgame: Settlement, Not Regime Change

TL;DR
Experts say the US–Iran war is unlikely to end with regime change; the most plausible endings are a negotiated settlement or a limited U.S. victory declaration (a Venezuela-style deal), with Iran broadly intact. Escalation to a ground war is seen as unlikely but not impossible, making a tail-risk scenario of Iraq-style intervention the major wildcard.
- How does the Iran war end? vox.com
- Global Leaders Brace for the Fallout From Trump’s Fast Metastasizing War The New York Times
- U.S. allies in Middle East denounce Iran attacks NBC News
- Iran Conflict: Five Things to Know WSJ
- US allies and foes left scrambling as Trump catches them off-guard on Iran The Guardian
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