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Emerson College Polling

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Becerra widens lead in final CA primary poll as Steyer and Hilton stay within reach
politics1 month ago

Becerra widens lead in final CA primary poll as Steyer and Hilton stay within reach

Democratic gubernatorial frontrunner Xavier Becerra leads Emerson College Polling’s final California primary survey with 28% support, ahead of Tom Steyer at 22% and Steve Hilton at 21%; Republican Chad Bianco has 12%, while Democrats Katie Porter and Matt Mahan each have 5%. Becerra leads among Democrats (44%), Hispanics (36%), and women (36%), while Hilton dominates Republicans (59%). Steyer performs best among voters under 30 and white voters. The top-two vote-getters advance to November; the poll surveyed 1,000 likely voters May 27–28.

Rubio Gains Ground as 2028 GOP Contender; Buttigieg, Newsom Lead Democrats in Emerson May Poll
politics1 month ago

Rubio Gains Ground as 2028 GOP Contender; Buttigieg, Newsom Lead Democrats in Emerson May Poll

A May 2026 Emerson College Polling national survey shows Trump at 39% approval; in the 2028 race, JD Vance leads GOP contenders with 36% and Marco Rubio close at 35%, while others trail; on the Democratic side Buttigieg leads with 18% and Newsom 16%, with several others below. The Democrats hold a 50% to 41% edge on the generic congressional ballot. Voters oppose U.S. military intervention in Cuba (57%), and the economy remains the top issue (41%), with concerns about democracy rising.

Emerson/PIX11 Polls Spotlight NYC Democratic Primaries in NY-07, NY-10, NY-12
politics1 month ago

Emerson/PIX11 Polls Spotlight NYC Democratic Primaries in NY-07, NY-10, NY-12

Emerson College Polling/PIX11 surveyed NYC Democratic primary voters May 16-17, 2026. In NY-07, Valdez leads 23% to Reynoso 21% and Won 13% with many voters undecided. In NY-10, Lander leads 57% to Goldman 23% with 20% undecided. In NY-12, Lasher 22% leads Bores 20%, with Schlossberg 11% and Conway 10% and 32% undecided. Mayor Mamdani enjoys broad approval across the three districts (78% in NY-07, 79% in NY-10, 66% in NY-12); voters feel safe in their neighborhoods, and views on the economy skew poor among voters in NY-07 and NY-10, with NY-12 more mixed. The samples were about 350-450 likely Democratic primary voters per district, with MOEs around 4.6-5.2%.

Becerra Surges in California Governor Primary as Hilton and Steyer Chase Second
politics1 month ago

Becerra Surges in California Governor Primary as Hilton and Steyer Chase Second

Emerson College Polling finds Xavier Becerra leading the California governor primary at 19%, with Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer each at 17%, Katie Porter at 10%, and Matt Mahan at 8%, with 12% undecided; when undecided leaners are included, Becerra rises to 20%, Steyer to 19%, Hilton to 18%, and Porter to 13%. In the Los Angeles mayoral race, Bass leads with 30% over Pratt (22%), Raman (19%), and Miller (7%). The economy is named as the top issue by Californians.

Mamdani's 100-Day Pulse: Modest Support Amid Broad NYC Unease
politics3 months ago

Mamdani's 100-Day Pulse: Modest Support Amid Broad NYC Unease

A Emerson College/PIX11 poll finds NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani at 43% approval (27% disapproval) at 100 days, with 59% saying the city is on the wrong track; approval is higher among November voters (+26 net) than non-voters (+9). Voters favor his handling of childcare (54%) and housing affordability (49%), are split on the budget (40% approve, 37% disapprove), and rate the economy as mostly poor/fair. A strong 65% back a millionaire’s tax, while most think the wealthy should bear higher taxes; fewer expect a corporate tax increase to trigger mass exits (44% don’t think it would, 30% think it would). Poll conducted April 5–6, 2026 with 850 registered voters, MOE ±3.4%.

Californian Election Pulse: Swalwell Tops Governor Primary as LA Mayor Race Remains Wide Open
politics4 months ago

Californian Election Pulse: Swalwell Tops Governor Primary as LA Mayor Race Remains Wide Open

Emerson College Polling's March 7–9, 2026 California survey finds Eric Swalwell leading the open governor primary with 17% and 25% undecided; Hilton 13%, Steyer 11%, Bianco 11%, Porter 8%. Independents are largely undecided (39%). In Los Angeles, the mayoral race is wide open with 51% undecided; Bass 20%, Pratt 10%, Raman 9%, Miller 4%, Huang 3%. Newsom's approval is 45%; the top issues are the economy and housing; the LA race could shift dramatically in June as independents dominate. CA sample n=1,000 (MOE ±3); LA n=350 (MOE ±5.2). Sponsor: Nexstar Media.

Trump’s Approval Steady as Voters Focus on Costs for 2026 Midterms
politics4 months ago

Trump’s Approval Steady as Voters Focus on Costs for 2026 Midterms

Emerson College Polling finds Trump at 43% approval and 55% disapproval (up 4 points). For 2028, Newsom leads the Democratic primary (20%), followed by Buttigieg (16%), Harris (13%), AOC (9%), Shapiro (7%),Beshear (5%), with 24% undecided; in the Republican primary, JD Vance leads at 52% over Rubio (20%) and DeSantis (6%), with 11% undecided. The 2026 generic ballot shows Democrats up 50% to 42%. Cost of living is the top voter concern (mean 8.2/10), with healthcare costs and inflation also high. The poll surveyed 1,000 likely voters Feb. 21–22, 2026, MOE ±3%.