All articles tagged with #exit poll
Exit polls project the centre-left opposition to win Sweden’s general election with a narrow majority (about 176 seats to 173 in the 349-seat parliament) and 51.3% of the vote to 46.8% for the ruling bloc, suggesting a possible change of government though poll accuracy has varied in past elections; the outcome will depend on coalition talks and the Sweden Democrats’ role in any government.
An exit poll suggests that the Liberal D66 party is set to win the Dutch parliamentary elections, indicating a potential shift in the country's political landscape.
A final exit poll suggests nationalist candidate Karol Nawrocki narrowly leads in Poland's presidential run-off, potentially impacting Poland's EU role and reform agenda, amid a highly competitive and closely contested election.
Ireland's top three political parties, Sinn Féin, Fine Gael, and Fianna Fáil, are in a virtual tie following the latest election, according to exit polls. Sinn Féin leads slightly with 21.1% of first-preference votes, followed closely by Fine Gael at 21% and Fianna Fáil at 19.5%. The results suggest a challenging path ahead for forming a coalition government, as no two parties can achieve a majority alone. The Green Party, part of the outgoing coalition, suffered significant losses, complicating potential coalition formations.
In the Irish general election, Prime Minister Simon Harris's Fine Gael party is nearly tied with Sinn Fein, each securing around 21% of first-preference votes according to exit polls. This suggests that Harris's strategy to call an early election did not provide the anticipated advantage, with Fianna Fail, Fine Gael's coalition partner, receiving 19.5% of the votes. The exit poll has a margin of error of 1.4%.
An exit poll from the Irish general election indicates a tight race among Sinn Féin, Fine Gael, and Fianna Fáil, with first preference votes at 21.1%, 21%, and 19.5% respectively. The poll, conducted by Ipsos B&A, suggests a close contest similar to the 2020 election, with no party likely to secure an outright majority. Official vote counting begins Saturday, with results expected over the weekend. The outcome could see Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil potentially forming a government with smaller parties, while Sinn Féin's path to power remains challenging.
According to ABC News exit polling, President-elect Trump was favored over Vice President Harris among voters who prioritized a candidate's "ability to lead" and "bring change," with Trump leading by 30 and 50 percentage points respectively in these categories. Conversely, Harris was preferred by voters who valued "good judgment" and "cares," leading Trump by over 60 and nearly 50 percentage points in these areas. Both candidates had similar favorability ratings, but Trump had a significant lead among voters who viewed both unfavorably.
The India Today-Axis My India exit poll predicts a significant victory for the NDA in the Andhra Pradesh assembly elections, forecasting 98-120 seats, with the TDP expected to be the largest party. The ruling YSRCP may see a decline, projected to secure 55-77 seats, down from 151 in 2019.
Early exit poll results from Ohio's GOP primary show that a majority of Republican voters believe it's important for the next US senator to support Donald Trump. The poll also indicates strong approval for Trump's job performance and a belief that a second Trump term would be better than his first. The primary is seen as a test of Trump's endorsement power in a contested Senate race, with businessman Bernie Moreno being Trump's preferred candidate. The poll also reveals the ideological views and concerns of Ohio's GOP primary voters, with a focus on conservative values, immigration, abortion, and economic sentiment.
An exit poll in Portugal's general election suggests a close race between the center-right Democratic Alliance and the center-left Socialist Party, with a predicted surge in support for the radical right populist party Chega. The potential rise of Chega, which advocates for national sovereignty and tougher law enforcement, poses a challenge to the traditional two-party system. The election was triggered by graft scandals and public discontent over low wages, high living costs, a housing crisis, and healthcare issues. The outcome could reshape the country's political landscape and government coalition dynamics.
Early exit poll results from South Carolina's Republican presidential primary show a highly conservative electorate, with over 4 in 10 voters identifying with the MAGA movement and more than 4 in 10 considering themselves very conservative. Only about one-third acknowledge Joe Biden's victory in the 2020 election. The poll also reveals that most voters had made up their minds before 2024 began, with the majority supporting candidates who would fight for them or share their values. There is a significant gap between Trump and Nikki Haley supporters, with a substantial minority of Haley voters expressing opposition to Trump.
Former President Donald Trump's victory in the New Hampshire primary was fueled by his strong support among self-identified Republicans, conservatives, non-college-educated voters, and key demographic groups within the GOP base. Trump's dominance on top issues like the economy and immigration also contributed to his win, despite former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley's appeal to independent voters and her focus on defeating President Joe Biden in November.
The New Hampshire GOP primary electorate is split between registered Republicans and undeclared voters, with nearly two-thirds describing themselves as conservative and about one-third as moderates. Most voters do not consider themselves part of the MAGA movement and about half believe in the legitimacy of President Joe Biden's victory. The top issues for voters are immigration and the economy, with a majority opposing a federal ban on most or all abortions. The exit poll, conducted by Edison Research, includes 1,565 interviews with Republican primary voters across 40 polling places.
The India Today-Axis My India exit poll suggests that the Congress is set to win the Telangana Assembly Election, preventing K Chandrashekhar Rao's Bharat Rashtra Samithi (BRS) from securing a third term. The Congress is projected to secure 63-73 seats, while the BRS is expected to attain 34-44 seats. The BJP is likely to secure 4-8 seats, and independent candidates may secure 5-8 seats. The voter turnout for the election was 70.60%.
Preliminary exit poll results from Ohio's ballot measure show broad support for abortion access, with 61% of voters saying abortion should be legal in most or all cases. The poll also indicates dissatisfaction with the Supreme Court's ruling on abortion, with 60% of voters expressing dissatisfaction or anger. The Democratic Party is trusted more than the Republican Party to handle the issue, with 49% of voters favoring the Democrats and 42% favoring the Republicans. The results suggest a potential increase in turnout among Democrats and Democratic-leaning groups. Additionally, the poll shows low turnout among Trump supporters and a record high turnout among liberals. Other groups, such as women, young adults, and racial and ethnic minorities, have turnout rates similar to previous elections.