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Institutions

All articles tagged with #institutions

Prediction markets go pro as trader edge narrows
business26 days ago

Prediction markets go pro as trader edge narrows

A Yale-led study of $13.76B in Polymarket trades finds roughly 3% of accounts captured 27% of profits, and as Wall Street liquidity grows, prices should become more accurate and mispricing opportunities rarer, likely shrinking the edge for most traders—perhaps below 1%—though niche traders and hedgers can still find value and markets may become more useful for data and risk management.

Declining Confidence: Americans' Trust in U.S. Military Hits 20-Year Low
society3 years ago

Declining Confidence: Americans' Trust in U.S. Military Hits 20-Year Low

Public confidence in the U.S. military has reached its lowest level in over two decades, with only 60 percent of Americans expressing a great deal or quite a lot of confidence, according to a recent Gallup poll. This marks the steepest decline in the past five years and is potentially linked to the U.S.'s rocky exit from Afghanistan. Republicans, historically showing the highest levels of confidence, have seen a significant drop in trust, while independents now have the lowest trust. The military still remains the most trusted institution, while Congress registers the lowest confidence at 8 percent.