All articles tagged with #j ann selzer
Judge Scott Beattie permanently dismissed President Trump’s lawsuit against pollster J. Ann Selzer and the Des Moines Register, ruling that opinion polls are protected speech and cannot be deemed fraudulent for being inaccurate. The case stemmed from a 2024 poll showing Kamala Harris ahead in Iowa, which Trump lost by 13 points. Trump’s team plans to appeal to the Iowa Supreme Court.
J. Ann Selzer, a renowned pollster known for her accurate election predictions, announced she is leaving election polling after her firm's recent inaccurate prediction in Iowa, where they showed Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump. Selzer, who has been associated with the Des Moines Register since 1997, will not renew her contract for 2024, citing a transition to other ventures. Despite her recent miss, Selzer has a history of successful predictions, including accurately forecasting Barack Obama's 2008 caucus victory and Joni Ernst's 2014 Senate win.
Pollster J. Ann Selzer plans to review her data after the Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll inaccurately predicted Vice President Kamala Harris leading over Donald Trump, who ultimately won Iowa by 14 percentage points. The poll, which had a margin of error of 3.4 points, showed Harris ahead by 3 points, but Trump secured 56% of the vote. Selzer, known for her accurate past predictions, is investigating potential factors like late voter decisions and unreported votes that may have contributed to the discrepancy.
Former President Donald Trump is surging in Iowa, expanding his lead over Republican rivals and topping 50% support for the first time, according to a recent poll by J. Ann Selzer. Trump's support remains strong among his backers, while his closest GOP rivals, such as Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis, are struggling to gain momentum. Trump's surge is particularly notable among first-time caucus-goers, with 63% support. Despite the unpredictable nature of the Iowa caucuses, if Trump maintains these numbers, he could gain significant momentum for the GOP nomination. Trump's campaign has focused on digital outreach and organization, targeting a list of 200,000 Iowans who have shown support for him in the past.