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Polling Analysis

All articles tagged with #polling analysis

politics1 month ago•10 min saved

Enten Flags ‘Big Uh-Oh’ Moment as Moderate Republicans Turn Away from Trump

CNN political analyst Harry Enten highlights a major shift among moderate Republicans, whose support for Trump has collapsed from a +69 lead against Harris in 2024 to a +10 net approval now—a 59-point swing that could jeopardize Trump and GOP candidates in swing districts. He also notes Trump’s overall polling remains weak in term two, undermining his claims that polls are fake, and stresses moderates are exiting Trump, signaling a broader GOP drift.

via HuffPost|

#enten #gop-shift #moderate-republicans

polling-analysis2 years ago•65 min saved

"December 2023 Poll Reveals President's Surging Popularity Against Familiar Rival"

The December 2023 Times/Siena Poll of the Likely Electorate provides cross-tabulated data on various demographic factors such as gender, age, race/ethnicity, education, income, and party identification. The poll also includes information on the 2024 vote choice, party identification with leaners, and 2020 vote. The data reveals insights into the likelihood of voting, with different demographic groups showing varying levels of certainty.

via The New York Times|

#demographics #election #likely-electorate

politics3 years ago•2 min saved

"Surge of Right-Wing Power Predicted in 2024 EU Election Polls"

Exclusive polling analysis shows that right-wing and Euroskeptic parties are expected to make significant gains in the 2024 EU election, potentially becoming the third-largest group in the European Parliament. The European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) and the Identity and Democracy (ID) group are projected to see notable increases in seats, driven by parties such as Italy's Brothers of Italy and Germany's Alternative for Germany (AfD). However, the center-right European People's Party (EPP) is still expected to remain the largest group, while the center-left Socialists and Democrats (S&D) would retain their position as the second-largest group. The Greens would experience a significant loss in seats, while the Left group would gain a few seats.

via POLITICO Europe|

#centrist-parties #eu-election #european-parliament