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Ukraine War Analysis

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Russia's Ukraine Offensive Grinds to a Halt as Donbas Aim Narrows
europe2 months ago

Russia's Ukraine Offensive Grinds to a Halt as Donbas Aim Narrows

France 24 reports that despite regular strikes on Ukraine, the Russian offensive is slowing and gains on the map are becoming rarer. Analysts cite a slower front, drone-dominated dead zones, and Russia’s shift to infiltration tactics around Kostyantynivka. Moscow has scaled back aims from retaking all of Ukraine to seizing the Donbas, while Ukraine harasses supply routes with long-range strikes. The conflict remains deadly and protracted, with both sides sustaining operations and civilians suffering as fighting stabilizes at a stalemate.

Ukraine edges forward as Russia's advance stalls in 2026, ISW reports
europe3 months ago

Ukraine edges forward as Russia's advance stalls in 2026, ISW reports

An ISW assessment finds Russia ceded about 116 square kilometers in April 2026—the first such loss since Aug 2024—while Ukraine gained ground in Sumy and Zaporizhzhia, reflecting a slower Russian advance and a shift to attritional warfare aided by drones and Ukraine's harassing tactics; Moscow faces recruitment challenges and communications restrictions after Starlink and Telegram blocks, suggesting large-scale offensives are unlikely this year.