Fed’s Hawkish Tilt Could Roil Tech and Push the S&P Lower

TL;DR
Investors brace for a likely FOMC rate hike as inflation stays stubborn, with the Fed potentially lifting the funds rate from 3.50% to 3.75% and possibly overhauling communication tools like forward guidance and the dot plot; Warsh’s hawkish stance adds uncertainty about policy signaling. The S&P 500 could face near-term downside from two forces—pressure on big‑tech free cash flow if rates stay higher and multiple compression for software—meaning a hawkish tilt could weigh on long‑duration growth even as oil/geopolitics have priced in some risk.
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- Federal Reserve interest rate hikes usually pound stocks, but then something surprising happens finance.yahoo.com
- Can the S&P 500 Rally as Treasury Yields Rise? Goldman Sachs
- What Happens to Stocks If the Fed Lifts Rates Barron's
- Opinion: Stocks have so far survived rising Treasury yields. But that may be about to change. MarketWatch
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