All articles tagged with #sp 500
The S&P 500 has fallen about 7.3% in March (on track for its worst month since 2022), but Morgan Stanley says the selloff is nearing its ending stages as the forward P/E has dropped roughly 15% from its peak; Brent crude has jumped about 51% since the start of the U.S.–Iran conflict and is largely priced in, yet higher interest rates remain a near-term risk with rate-cut odds fading by year-end.
The S&P 500 dipped below its 200-day moving average, a historically concerning signal, and Lance Roberts outlines a six-indicator checklist plus a six-step defensive plan: trim concentration in high-valuation holdings, hold 10–15% cash, tilt toward quality stocks, favor defensive sectors, tighten downside stops on volatile names, and extend Treasury duration to five–seven years to help shield portfolios from potential near-term downside.
The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq opened down as oil prices surged on geopolitical headlines, with traders awaiting the Federal Reserve's rate decision at 2 p.m. ET and digesting hotter inflation signals.
U.S. stock indexes rose for a second consecutive session ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision, with broad gains across major indices as investors weigh upcoming guidance and rate expectations.
Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson argues the S&P 500 is nearing the end of its rolling correction, with earnings growth set to reaccelerate and market breadth improving. However, the pace of oil and dollar moves could keep volatility elevated in the near term and influence how quickly the market flexes out of the correction, potentially creating opportunities in cyclical names.
JPMorgan says a prolonged Iran war could push the S&P 500 into a ~10% correction, potentially to around 6,720, with near-term losses implied by options and oil-supply risks rising; they note a definitive off‑ramp to the conflict would reverse the bearish call. Morgan Stanley remains largely constructive over the next 6–12 months, arguing the rolling correction may be ending and highlighting buying opportunities in cyclicals if oil stays high but not prohibitive.
U.S. stock futures edged higher ahead of Thursday’s session after the major averages closed up on Wednesday, with Nasdaq-100, S&P 500, and Dow futures rising about 0.26%, 0.18%, and 0.09% as traders await Walmart’s earnings. Investors are also weighing Fed minutes showing policy disagreement, geopolitical tensions that pushed oil higher on Iran talks, and upcoming data on jobless claims and pending home sales.
Tariffs are effectively a tax on U.S. consumption, potentially slowing growth by raising costs for consumers and firms. The S&P 500 is trading with a CAPE ratio above 39, a level historically followed by weak returns and drawdowns, a pattern echoing the dot-com crash. While earnings may accelerate in 2025–26, investors are advised to be cautious, consider preserving cash, and tilt portfolios toward long-term wealth rather than chasing volatility.
Stocks rebound from last week’s losses as investors price in a Fed rate hold and await big‑tech earnings, lifting the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq while gold and silver push to fresh highs and the dollar weakens.
U.S. stock futures slipped following Wall Street’s first back-to-back losses of 2026, signaling renewed caution for the next session as investors digest earnings and macro data; notable moves included declines in several high-profile names, while broader indices fluctuated in late trading.
U.S. stocks opened lower on Wednesday, with the Dow around 49,117 (-0.1%), the S&P 500 near 6,924 (-0.5%), and the Nasdaq about 23,519 (-0.8%), on pace for a second straight session of declines as tech shares come under pressure after reports that China banned U.S. cybersecurity software. The Supreme Court is expected to rule on tariffs at 10 a.m. ET, though the decisions remain unclear.
Goldman Sachs has increased its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 6,800, citing a dovish Federal Reserve and resilient corporate earnings, with further optimistic forecasts for the next 6 to 12 months amid recent rate cuts and easing concerns over recession risks.