Iran’s Maneuverable-Missile Push Escalates Regional Tension After MoU Collapse

TL;DR Summary
ISW-CTP’s Iran Update warns Iran is deploying high-speed, maneuverable ballistic missiles against US bases as it abandons the US–Iran MoU following diverging interpretations of the Strait of Hormuz clause. In the last 24 hours, Iran attacked a US base in Jordan (two service members killed, one missing) and struck targets in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, and Kuwait, with US strikes hitting infrastructure around Bandar Abbas. China and Russia are suspected of aiding Tehran, while Iran presses to control Hormuz and raise transit fees, escalating regional security threats and continuing cross-border drone and air clashes in Iraqi Kurdistan.
- Iran Update Special Report, July 18, 2026 Institute for the Study of War
- The US and Iran have blown past red lines as they lurch back toward all-out war AP News
- Trump's 60-day Iran deal reaches halfway mark as ceasefire collapses into escalating war Fox News
- Donald Trump’s blind alley The Economist
- Donald Trump’s Ad-Lib Strategy on Iran The New Yorker
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