Democrats Edge Up in New Poll as Midterm Uncertainty Persists

TL;DR Summary
A Washington Post–Ipsos poll (July 8–13) shows Democrats leading Republicans in national congressional preference by 3 points (48% to 45%), with the gap widening to 8 points among voters absolutely certain to vote (53%–45%). Trump’s overall approval sits around 37%, while Republicans hold a 53–47 Senate edge and House control remains fragile for Speaker Mike Johnson amid gerrymandering and party loyalty. The results echo, but differ from, 2018 dynamics and underscore continued uncertainty over who will control Congress this November.
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