Record-low approval and economic anxiety put Trump and GOP on defensive ahead of midterms

Key points

• Trump's approval rating has fallen to a record low of 33 percent among US adults, with 66 percent disapproving, according to a Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll.
• Democrats hold an eight-point lead over Republicans in the race for control of the House among registered and likely voters, a significant improvement from a three-point lead in July.
• For the first time in more than a decade, Democrats are seen as more trusted than Republicans to deal with the economy, with a 40 percent to 33 percent margin.
• Voters are deeply concerned about the cost of living, with 71 percent now saying gasoline is unaffordable, a sharp reversal from February when 71 percent said it was affordable.
• CNN Chief Data Analyst Harry Enten described the polling numbers as a 'five-alarm Trumpster fire,' highlighting the severity of the decline.

Background

This latest polling data comes after a series of events that have strained relations between the Trump administration and the media, including a White House press pool boycott in September 2026. The current polling landscape also follows a period of intense political competition, as seen in recent Senate races in Maine and Texas, where candidates have struggled to maintain leads despite significant support from the president.

How outlets are covering it

The Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll provides a comprehensive view of the current political landscape, emphasizing the economic concerns and shifting party allegiances that are driving the Democratic advantage. The Independent, through its coverage of CNN's Harry Enten, highlights the severity of the polling decline, using the term 'five-alarm Trumpster fire' to underscore the magnitude of the drop in approval ratings. While both sources agree on the negative trend, The Independent focuses on the reaction of a data analyst, whereas The Washington Post provides a detailed breakdown of the polling numbers and their implications for the midterm elections.

Why it matters

The record-low approval rating and the Democratic lead in the race for Congress signal a significant shift in public sentiment that could have major implications for the outcome of the midterm elections. The economic concerns, particularly the cost of gasoline, are driving voter dissatisfaction and could influence turnout and voting behavior. This polling data also highlights the challenges facing the Republican Party as it prepares for the November elections, with the potential loss of control of the House and a shift in party allegiances that could reshape the political landscape.

What to watch

The next two weeks will be critical for both parties as they campaign and try to influence voter turnout. The Republican Party will likely focus on protecting candidates in redder areas and trying to mobilize their base, while Democrats will continue to emphasize their economic message and the need for a check on Trump's agenda. The outcome of the midterm elections will depend on voter turnout, particularly among Trump's 2024 voters, and the ability of each party to address the economic concerns that are driving voter dissatisfaction.