Oslo Summit: Zelensky Credits US for Restored Intel, Witkoff Heads to Moscow

Key points

• Zelensky stated that US intelligence on Russian strikes 'works now' and thanked Washington for restoring early warning systems, contradicting earlier claims of a pause.
• Witkoff will travel to St Petersburg to discuss peace proposals with Russian leadership and seek the release of Stephen Hubbard, a US citizen detained in Russia since 2022.
• The Oslo talks involved Zelensky, Finnish President Alexander Stubb, Norwegian PM Jonas Gahr Støre, and virtual participation from Jared Kushner, focusing on security guarantees and postwar economic plans.
• Zelensky accused the US of delaying missile interceptor deliveries and imposing speed restrictions on Starlink, while US Secretary of State Marco Rubio called these claims 'scandalous' and 'outrageous'.
• European leaders emphasized the need for a four-way equation involving the US, Ukraine, Russia, and Europe to achieve a lasting peace, with Witkoff's Russia trip seen as a critical next step.

Background

Recent weeks saw a sharp deterioration in US-Ukraine relations, with Trump criticizing Zelensky over strikes on Russian refineries and waiving sanctions. Zelensky accused the US of withholding intelligence and restricting Starlink, leading to deadly Russian missile strikes in Kyiv. Rubio had previously denied any deliberate pause in intelligence sharing, attributing issues to a 'software problem.'

How outlets are covering it

BBC and NBC News highlight the restored intelligence sharing and Zelensky's gratitude, while also noting the ongoing dispute over missile interceptors and Starlink restrictions. The Financial Times and Axios emphasize the diplomatic progress, with Witkoff's trip to Russia and the two-track approach to peace (security guarantees and durable peace). All sources agree on the strained US-Ukraine relations but differ on the extent of US support withdrawal, with Rubio firmly denying any deliberate withholding of aid.

Why it matters

The Oslo talks represent a potential turning point in the US-Ukraine-Russia peace process, with Witkoff's trip to Russia signaling a renewed diplomatic effort. The restored intelligence sharing and ongoing negotiations could reduce the risk of further escalation and pave the way for a comprehensive peace agreement, though tensions over military support and sanctions remain a significant hurdle.

What to watch

Witkoff's meeting with Russian leadership in St Petersburg will be crucial in determining whether the Oslo proposals can lead to serious negotiations. The outcome of this meeting, along with the resolution of disputes over missile interceptors and Starlink restrictions, will shape the future of US-Ukraine relations and the broader peace process.