"Guatemala's Presidential Election: Elite Opposition, Outsider Contender, and Progressive Leader Compete for Power"

Bernardo Arévalo, an outsider candidate running on an anti-corruption platform, is polling ahead in Guatemala's presidential run-off. However, the country's elite, known as the "pact of the corrupt," has been attempting to block his path to the presidency. The elite's power has grown since the closure of a UN-backed anti-corruption body in 2019, and the current administration has further politicized the courts. There are concerns that the elite will manipulate the election results or try to prevent Arévalo from taking power if he wins. Outside pressure, including condemnation from the US and the Organisation of American States, may play a role in ensuring a fair election. Even if Arévalo is sworn in, he may face challenges such as party suspension and institutional resistance. However, his win would be a victory for democracy in Guatemala.