
Open cut line at Royal Birkdale projected at +1, shaping who plays the weekend
At Royal Birkdale for the Open, the 36-hole cut is projected at +1 (1-over), with a 92.7% chance it stays there; 70 players plus ties advance. If +1 holds, Justin Thomas and Brooks Koepka would be on the weekend bubble, while Tom Kim (+3) and Matt Fitzpatrick (+4) would miss. Rory McIlroy and Ludvig Åberg have moved clear, while Viktor Hovland, Tyrrell Hatton and Jordan Spieth still contend to reach the weekend. The Open’s cut rules keep Top 70 and ties, and past years’ lines vary (e.g., +5 at Birkdale in 2017); weather could make the test even tougher this weekend.












