Kinburn Spit pressure mounts as Ukraine targets Russia’s supply lines with long-range strikes
ISW notes Russia is withdrawing from Kinburn Spit in Mykolaiv as Ukraine’s intermediate-range strikes disrupt Russian supply lines in occupied areas, signaling a shift in battlefield dynamics and possible further withdrawals. The Kremlin remains unreconciled with peace efforts despite Ukrainian outreach, while NATO reports a drone downed in Latvia after Russian EW diverted it into Baltic airspace. Russia launched about 155 drones with Ukrainian defenses intercepting most, and Ukraine continued strikes against Russian energy and logistics assets—including oil terminals and railway facilities in Russia and occupied Crimea—driving fuel shortages and fuel-quota measures there. Across Donetsk, Kharkiv, and Luhansk, Ukrainian forces conduct intermediate-range strikes and counter-infiltration operations amid ongoing ground fighting. Belarusian and Chinese engagement around Moscow’s strategic posture also features in the broader picture.