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Isw Analysis

All articles tagged with #isw analysis

world1 month ago•19 min saved

Putin’s battlefield hype vs. ISW’s August 2026 reality check

ISW rebutts Putin’s Sept 1–2 claims of rapid Russian gains in Ukraine, noting August 2026 saw only about 90 sq km of territory seized or consolidated—far less than Putin’s 270 sq km assertion and well short of last year’s pace. Specific claims (Svyatohirsk reach, Kozacha Lopan seizure, encirclement of Ukrainian battalions) are not supported by evidence. Ukrainian forces, including counteroffensives in Lyman/Oleksandrivka, reportedly gained about 129.81 sq km in August. Russian casualties rose with modest territorial gains. Zelensky replaced the Ukrainian Ground Forces commander; Ukraine continued long-range strikes into Russia, while Russia expanded Geran drone production at the Alabuga SEZ. The Kremlin’s rhetoric appears aimed at cognitive warfare to sustain domestic support while showing no willingness to freeze the frontline or negotiate on Russia’s terms.

via Institute for the Study of War|

#donetsk-oblast #isw-analysis #putin-claims

world3 months ago•6 min saved

Ukraine pivots to mid-range drones and a logistics blitz to shift the war

Ukraine is entering a new phase by using mid-range drones (including US-made Hornets) to strike rear targets and disrupt Russian logistics, aided by improved planning and the Delta battlefield management system. Kyiv aims to isolate the front, slow Russian advances, and regain ground, backed by a “logistics lockdown” funded with over $110 million. Analysts from ISW say momentum is building but cautioned it’s time-limited as Russia adapts, while Zelenskyy and Ukrainian officials trumpet progress.

via Business Insider|

#delta-battlefield-management #drones #isw-analysis

world7 months ago•32 min saved

Pokrovsk Seizure Fails to Unlock Wider Donetsk Advances, ISW Finds

ISW finds no evidence Ukrainian forces in Pokrovsk since Jan 2025, implying Russia captured the town earlier but has not leveraged it for broader Donetsk gains. Pokrovsk’s seizure is no guarantee of rapid Fortress Belt advances, and Moscow’s push has been slow and limited. The report also highlights Kremlin reflexive-control efforts to influence the West, stalled peace negotiations, and looming domestic internet restrictions such as a Telegram ban. Ukraine continues expanding defense production in Europe and receiving Western military aid, including long‑range strikes, while fighting persists across multiple fronts without a decisive breakthrough.

via Institute for the Study of War|

#donetsk-oblast #isw-analysis #pokrovsk