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Kenpom

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Elite Eight Showdown: Purdue Meets Arizona for a Final Four Bid
college-basketball13 days ago

Elite Eight Showdown: Purdue Meets Arizona for a Final Four Bid

In San Jose, Purdue (30-8) faces No. 1 Arizona (35-2) in the NCAA Elite Eight, aiming for a second Final Four in three seasons. Purdue remains the top offense per KenPom but needs improved 3-point shooting after a rough night from deep; Fletcher Loyer and Braden Smith carry the scoring load, with Trey Kaufman-Renn trending at 21.3 PPG on 64% shooting in the tournament and Oscar Cluff providing inside heft. Arizona, a high-scoring, elite-efficient team, uses a low-volume 3-point approach but excels on the glass and interior defense, led by a strong frontcourt. Purdue must avoid foul trouble for its big men, generate double-digit threes, and rely on Smith to match Arizona’s physicality. On3 projects a tight, high-level clash with Arizona likely to edge Purdue 82-78.

Boilermakers Tackle Arizona in a Slow-Tempo, Experience-Driven Preview
sports14 days ago

Boilermakers Tackle Arizona in a Slow-Tempo, Experience-Driven Preview

Purdue faces KenPom No. 1 Arizona in a high-stakes showdown that should favor Purdue’s experience if they can slow the pace and control the boards. The piece outlines Arizona’s young, talented roster, Purdue’s veteran rotation led by Braden Smith, and suggests a grind-it-out game that pairs Purdue’s set defense with limiting fast-breaks, trading 2-pointers for Purdue’s 3s, to keep the game within reach and potentially pull off an upset.

Purdue-Miami Preview: Inside-Out Battle and Roster Depth Key a Paint-Heavy Clash
college-basketball20 days ago

Purdue-Miami Preview: Inside-Out Battle and Roster Depth Key a Paint-Heavy Clash

Purdue heads into a paint-heavy matchup with Miami, a 26-8 ACC team ranked 30th by KenPom. Miami relies on a strong interior nucleus led by Malik Reneau and Ernest Udeh, uses a six-man rotation, and features solid rebounding; they can surge from deep if Donaldson is hot. Purdue should double Reneau to neutralize the interior, attack the paint, and look for open perimeter shots as Miami’s bench usage is limited and turnover risk exists. If Purdue brings consistent defense and execution, its depth and interior attack give it the edge over a Hurricanes squad that thrives when they establish inside scoring.

sports23 days ago

Underdogs Lead First-Round Edge as No. 1 Seeds Dominate 2026 March Madness Betting Trends

FOX Sports Research analyzes decades of data, showing underdogs cover the spread more often than not in the Round of 64 (51.6% ATS since 2015; 85 SU wins), while 1-seeds have dominated the Round of 64 (158-2 SU, 83-75-2 ATS since 1985). The piece also covers double-digit seed patterns, coaching cover rates (Matt Painter, Bill Self, Tom Izzo), and KenPom-style indicators highlighting eight teams with top offense and defense, including Duke as the current title favorite at +350. It adds seed-history notes (e.g., 12-seeds win 57 times since 1985; several upsets by 13–14–15 seeds have occurred) and other notable first-round trends to watch during the 2026 tournament.

BYU-Texas Preview: Guards, Fouls, and a Narrow Edge in Portland
sports23 days ago

BYU-Texas Preview: Guards, Fouls, and a Narrow Edge in Portland

This BYU-Texas preview frames a tight Portland showdown where BYU’s improving defense and guard depth aim to slow Texas’s high‑scoring offense. Key battles include BYU forcing Matas Vokietaitis into early fouls and neutralizing Texas’ top scorers with multiple defenders, while BYU’s physicality and rebounding punch give them a slight edge in a defensively focused, close game. A balanced mix of guard play and foul trouble is expected to decide the outcome, with BYU favored in a slim-margin finish.

Are March Madness favorites really upset-proof? History tests the top teams
sports26 days ago

Are March Madness favorites really upset-proof? History tests the top teams

The piece uses Bart Torvik’s Profile Comparison and KenPom data to compare the current top eight teams (as of March 10) with historically similar squads since 2008, assessing how they fared in the NCAA Tournament. While Duke, Michigan and Arizona stand out numerically, the historical comps show a mix of deep runs and upset losses for similar teams, meaning there isn’t a true “upset-proof” favorite—outcomes hinge on dynamics like efficiency, tempo, matchups, and late-game execution.

KenPom Sees BYU Dominating Utah in Rivalry Rematch, Projects a 24-Win Campaign
sports2 months ago

KenPom Sees BYU Dominating Utah in Rivalry Rematch, Projects a 24-Win Campaign

KenPom has BYU a heavy favorite to beat Utah in the rivalry rematch (96% win probability, 92-73 projection) and offers game-by-game predictions for BYU's remaining schedule, forecasting an 8-2-4.8 run over the last 13 games and a season total around 24-7. With 16 wins already, BYU could reach 25–27 wins; ESPN BPI also lists BYU among the top contenders to win the Big 12.

UK Hosts Texas in High-Stakes Rupp Arena Showdown
sports2 months ago

UK Hosts Texas in High-Stakes Rupp Arena Showdown

Kentucky welcomes Texas to Rupp Arena for a midweek SEC clash following back-to-back road comebacks (at LSU and Tennessee). UK opens as a 6.5-point favorite with a 151.5-point total, and KenPom gives the Cats a ~71% win chance (82-76 projection), while ESPN’s matchup predictor also favors Kentucky (~76%). Texas brings a potent offense led by Dailyn Swain, Matas Vokietaitis, Tramon Mark and Jordan Pope, and Kentucky counters with Denzel Aberdeen and Malachi Moreno after Jaland Lowe’s season-ending injury (Quaintance knee swelling). Kentucky leads the series 2-1. Tipoff is 7:00 p.m. ET on SEC Network, with KSBoard live updates and postgame coverage; note that Kam Williams later suffered a broken foot vs. Texas.

Indiana Triumphs Over UNC Greensboro Amidst Player Absences and Critiques
sports1 year ago

Indiana Triumphs Over UNC Greensboro Amidst Player Absences and Critiques

Indiana Hoosiers are set to face UNC Greensboro Spartans in a non-conference basketball game at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall. Indiana, off to a strong start this season, is favored to win with a 94% chance according to KenPom, largely due to their advantage in the paint. Greensboro, led by coach Mike Jones, will rely on their three-point shooting to stay competitive. The game serves as a precursor to Indiana's participation in the Battle 4 Atlantis tournament next week.

"Key Insights from 2024 NCAA Tournament Opening Weekend"
sports2 years ago

"Key Insights from 2024 NCAA Tournament Opening Weekend"

The first weekend of the 2024 NCAA Tournament featured upsets, close calls, and three overtime games. UConn dominated its first two games, while major conferences rule the Sweet 16 with 14 out of 16 teams coming from Power 6 conferences. NC State's remarkable run continues, and Ken Pomeroy's metrics have been accurate, raising questions about the selection committee. The tournament doesn't need fixing, as the magic of small conference teams adds to the excitement of March Madness.

"Purdue vs. Utah State: March Madness Predictions and Odds"
sports2 years ago

"Purdue vs. Utah State: March Madness Predictions and Odds"

Utah State University's basketball team, led by head coach Danny Sprinkle, boasts a strong record and ranking in the Mountain West conference, with key players like Darius Brown and Great Osobor making significant contributions. However, they face a tough matchup against Purdue in the NCAA Tournament, with predictions favoring Purdue due to their slightly superior performance in various aspects of the game. Despite Utah State's talent, Purdue's strengths and Utah State's vulnerability to interior fouls may lead to Purdue securing a victory and advancing to the Sweet 16.

sports2 years ago

"National Championship Contenders? Houston and BYU Clash in College Basketball Showdown"

No. 21 BYU will face off against No. 4 Houston in a highly anticipated college basketball showdown, with both teams boasting impressive rankings and statistics. The game marks the first meeting between the two teams as Big 12 Conference opponents, and the focus will be on BYU's efficient offense against Houston's elite defense. Both teams are considered strong contenders for the NCAA Tournament, with favorable statistical indicators. The game also holds historical significance as both teams share a connection through former player and coach Dave Rose, who will be in attendance at the game.