Trump-Won NY-21 District Emerges as a Toss-Up for Democrats
An internal poll funded by Democrat Blake Gendebien shows a dead-heat in NY-21 against Republican Anthony Constantino (Gendebien 45%, Constantino 44%, 11% undecided) in a district Trump carried by 20 points in 2024. The race could become a three-way contest if ex-Republican Robert Smullen seeks the Conservative line. Stefanik is the incumbent; Constantino has Trump’s endorsement and self-funds his campaign, while Democratic politics point to primary infighting as a potential edge for them. No independent polling has been released, leaving the general election in a tight, unsettled position.