Fed Minutes Reveal Split Over Rates as Inflation Risks Persist

TL;DR Summary
Federal Reserve minutes from last meeting show officials divided on the path for interest rates, with upside inflation risks from AI-driven demand and other shocks; most participants saw keeping rates unchanged this month as justified, but some favored firming if inflation remains elevated, and many projected rates at or below current levels by year-end, highlighting policy uncertainty as Warsh offered no new projections.
- Fed saw "upside risks" to inflation, disagreed on rate path Axios
- At Warsh’s First Fed Meeting, Some Officials Signaled Support for Raising Interest Rates The New York Times
- Warsh’s minute minutes Financial Times
- Fed officials were split on direction of interest rates at last meeting, minutes show CNBC
- Fed Likely Won’t Cut Interest Rates This Year, Minutes Show Forbes
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