Mixed Signals in the US Economy: Growth, Labor, and Retail Trends

TL;DR Summary
Despite rising inflation and a weakening job market due to tariffs and policy uncertainties, the U.S. economy may avoid a deep recession, with some indicators suggesting a soft patch rather than a crash, though companies and consumers are cautious about future impacts.
- Economic Data Has Taken a Dark Turn. That Doesn’t Mean a Crash Is Near. The New York Times
- Tracking Labor Market Stress Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
- Quick Thoughts on the Economy: Slowing Growth Until the Stock Market Crash Center for Economic and Policy Research
- Retail sales or payrolls: which is right about the US economy? Financial Times
- These jobs are hiring, despite a weak job market ABC News
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