Inflation data in focus as investors weigh the next Fed move

TL;DR Summary
Investors are bracing for next week’s inflation readings (PPI on Thursday and CPI on Sept. 11) to judge whether the Fed will hike rates at its Sept. 15–16 meeting. Economists expect August CPI to rise about 0.4% with a 0.2% core gain, though cooling in June–July has kept the debate alive. A hotter print could lift rate-hike odds and push yields higher, while a cooler print could reinforce expectations that rates stay unchanged. The market has risen in 2026 but remains sensitive to inflation data and policy signals.
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