Polls show record-low Trump approval and Democratic lead ahead of midterms

Key points

• The Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll found 33% approval for Trump, a record low, with 66% disapproval.
• Fox News and NBC News polls show similar trends, with approval ratings around 34% to 36% and rising disapproval.
• Economic concerns, including inflation and cost of living, are the primary drivers of voter dissatisfaction.
• Democrats lead in House district races by 8 to 9 points, but voters remain skeptical of both parties.
• Trump’s approval is particularly low among younger voters, independents, and non-white voters.

Background

In early October 2026, polls already showed Democrats gaining ground in the midterms as Trump’s approval declined. The current data confirms a continued downward trend, with economic issues and the Iran conflict cited as key factors. Republicans face a competitive Senate map, while Democrats aim to retake the House.

How outlets are covering it

The Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll emphasizes the record-low approval rating and Democratic lead in House races. Fox News highlights economic dissatisfaction and the widening Democratic advantage in district races. NBC News focuses on national mood, with 71% of Americans viewing the country as on the 'wrong track.' Axios notes that while discontent is high, it does not necessarily translate into strong support for Democrats, as voters remain pessimistic about both parties.

Why it matters

The midterms will test the strength of the GOP’s agenda, with Democrats likely to retake the House. Economic anxiety and inflation are driving voter dissatisfaction, but the outcome remains uncertain due to competitive Senate races and voter pessimism about both parties.

What to watch

The midterm elections will be held on November 3, 2026. Republicans are focusing on competitive states, while Democrats aim to capitalize on economic dissatisfaction. The outcome will determine control of Congress and the balance of power in Washington.