El Niño Set to Push World Into Record Heat by 2030, WMO Warns

The UN's World Meteorological Organization warns a record-hot year is almost certain by 2030 as an El Niño is expected to lift temperatures; there is an 86% chance at least one year between 2026–2030 will surpass 2024 as the hottest on record and a 75% chance the five-year average will be more than 1.5C above pre-industrial levels. Fossil-fuel emissions continue to rise, fueling deadly heatwaves and rising costs, with urgent action needed to meet the 1.5C goal; 2027 could become the next record year. The Arctic winters are projected to be about 2.8C hotter than recent averages, and rainfall is forecast to be wetter in northern Europe, the Sahel, Alaska and Siberia, but drier in the Amazon.