Tag

El Nino

All articles tagged with #el nino

weather17 hours ago•6 min saved

El Niño Settles In: Quiet Atlantic Season, Wetter South Florida Ahead

NOAA and climate models indicate El Niño will strengthen and likely persist into early 2027, dampening Atlantic tropical development via increased wind shear and forecasting a below-average 2026 hurricane season (CSU projects about 9 named storms, 4 hurricanes). For South Florida, the pattern points to a cooler, wetter, and potentially stormier winter driven by a persistent subtropical jetstream, signaling notable contrasts to the prior winter.

via NBC 6 South Florida|

#el-nino #hurricane-season #noaa

weather1 day ago•5 min saved

Record Heat Dome Targets Drought-Scarred West, Elevating Fire Risk

A widespread heat dome is forecast to push temperatures well into the 100s and up to about 110°F across the Intermountain West and northern Plains, threatening tie-or-break records from Salt Lake City to Billings and driving higher fire-weather risk as drought persists; forecasters warn the heat could intensify this weekend, with monsoonal moisture and a moister air mass potentially offering some relief by mid-to-late July.

via The Washington Post|

#drought #el-nino #fire-weather

climate-and-environment1 day ago•8 min saved

Strong El Niño poised to reshape California winter

Federal forecasters say a strong El Niño is virtually certain to develop this year, with a 97% chance of a strong or very strong event by December and an 81% likelihood it’ll be very strong. For California, that means a higher chance of above‑average winter rainfall in Southern California and increased risks of flash floods and landslides, along with a greater potential for heat waves and a persistent marine heat wave as oceans continue to warm.

via Los Angeles Times|

#california-weather #climate-and-environment #el-nino

earth-science1 day ago•17 min saved

Sky-based tweak could blunt El Niño before it begins

A Science Advances modeling study shows that targeted marine cloud brightening over the southeast tropical Pacific could weaken, or even neutralize, developing El Niño events. In simulations of the 1997–1998 and 2015–2016 super El Niños, applying the technique from June through February restored ENSO-neutral conditions, but researchers stress this is a proof-of-concept and not a-ready-for-field approach, noting uncertainties such as potentially faster La Niña onset and other unintended climate effects that require extensive follow-up before any real-world tests.

via Gizmodo|

#climate-science #earth-science #el-nino

weather1 day ago•3 min saved

NOAA raises odds of a historically strong El Niño this fall

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center now puts an 81% chance that this El Niño will reach a “very strong” level by fall, up from 63% in June, with a 97% chance it lasts into early 2027. Only about seven of the last 75 El Niño events have been “very strong,” so this could be among the strongest on record. Very strong El Niños tend to reshape global weather—bringing heat waves, droughts, and heavy rainfall in different regions—while likely reducing Atlantic hurricane activity and potentially yielding a milder winter for parts of the U.S.; it may also raise high-tide flooding risk on the West Coast and affect marine life and algal blooms. The strongest on record was the 1982-83 event (RONI +2.5°C). Forecasts can still shift and impacts are not guaranteed.

via USA Today|

#climate #el-nino #hurricanes

science2 days ago•7 min saved

Sunlight Dimming Could Dampen the Next El Niño

A modeling study proposes regional solar dimming through marine cloud brightening to cool the Pacific and lessen El Niño’s strength and global impacts, drawing on the 2019–2020 Australian bushfire smoke as a natural analogue; while potentially feasible as a targeted tool, experts warn about uncertain effects, political challenges, and the need for much more research before any real-world deployment.

via WIRED|

#climate-change #el-nino #geoengineering

science2 days ago•189 min saved

Scientists weigh sun-dimming geoengineering to blunt a coming Super El Niño

A Science Advances study explores marine cloud brightening—spraying particles into ocean clouds to reflect sunlight—as a controversial, temporary tool to lessen the impacts of a potential Super El Niño. Using a natural-fire–driven analog, researchers modeled deploying the technique before two historic El Niño events and found it could reduce heat and dryness and boost La Niña conditions by about 40%, especially if used early. The paper stops short of advocacy, calling it a proof-of-concept that warrants further study while flagging major caveats: technical feasibility, uncertain regional effects, ethical questions about governance, and the risk of unintended consequences or termination shocks if deployed. Experts caution that while intriguing, such geoengineering is far from ready and should not replace emissions cuts.

via CNN|

#climate-change #el-nino #geoengineering

environment5 days ago•6 min saved

Pacific Ocean's heat wave could rewrite this winter’s weather

A vast Pacific marine heat wave spanning more than eight times the size of the contiguous U.S. and about 13.5% of Earth’s surface formed from a North Pacific anomaly and a growing El Niño. It could reshuffle weather this winter and spring, fueling Typhoon Bavi in the western Pacific and a potential heat dome over the western U.S. this summer, while pushing California coastal seas higher by roughly 6 inches to 2 feet and boosting rainfall and wildfire risk. Linked to the Pacific Meridional Mode and ongoing warming, global ocean heat has surged in recent decades, making extreme weather more likely.

via The Washington Post|

#climate-change #el-nino #environment

weather6 days ago•15 min saved

Bavi Reaches Cat 5, Aims at Saipan and Tinian as 2026's Third Major Typhoon

Typhoon Bavi rapidly intensified into 2026’s third Category 5 storm, reaching about 160 mph and threatening the U.S. Northern Mariana Islands (Tinian and Saipan) with catastrophic winds; JTWC forecast a peak near 175 mph before an eyewall replacement cycle may weaken it, with landfall near the Marianas possible this weekend. After passing the islands, Bavi is expected to move west-northwest toward Taiwan or China by July 10–11. The event occurs in a warming-El Niño–driven regime that has seen more Cat 4–5 tropical cyclones globally.

via Yale Climate Connections|

#bavi #category-5 #el-nino

science7 days ago•4 min saved

Geoengineering gamble: one method could dampen El Niño, another barely stirs the climate

A UCSB study finds two cooling geoengineering approaches have very different regional climate effects: marine cloud brightening in the eastern Pacific could dramatically reduce ENSO amplitude (about 61%), altering rainfall and upwelling, while stratospheric aerosol injection shows almost no measurable ENSO impact. The results emphasize that similar global cooling can come with very different regional consequences and underscore the need for careful evaluation of any geoengineering deployment and its ecological and agricultural risks.

via ScienceDaily|

#el-nino #enso #geoengineering

science10 days ago•395 min saved

Ocean heat reaches record highs as El Niño looms

Global ocean surface temperatures in June hit record highs, with Copernicus Climate Change Service recording about 20.86°C and Copernicus Marine Service about 21°C outside polar regions, signaling a potential new warming phase as El Niño approaches; scientists say the warming is driven by greenhouse gas emissions and could bring more temperature records and heat waves in the US and Europe, where over 46 million people are under extreme heat alerts and Europe has logged thousands of heat-related excess deaths.

via NBC News|

#climate-change #copernicus #el-nino

climate10 days ago•184 min saved

June Ocean Heat Surges to Record, Raising Alarm of a New Climate Regime

Global oceans reached a new June heat record, with average sea-surface temperatures around 69.5°F (20.86°C) on June 21, 2026 (Copernicus data), and 69.38°F in another dataset, driven by the onset of El Niño and ongoing human-caused warming. Scientists warn this could mark a shift into uncharted territory, likely bringing more heat waves, stronger storms, heavier rainfall, and threats to marine life such as coral bleaching, though whether the spike is temporary remains uncertain.

via CNN|

#climate #climate-change #el-nino

world10 days ago•4 min saved

June Pushes Global Ocean Heat to Uncharted Levels as El Niño Emerges

A record global average sea-surface temperature in June—about 21C—driven by ongoing warming and the El Niño onset, pushed the world into uncharted territory, with Copernicus and NOAA warning more temperature records and extreme weather could follow as oceans have absorbed most excess heat and CO2; Europe experienced heatwaves and thousands affected, highlighting climate risks as El Niño strengthens.

via Financial Times|

#climate-change #el-nino #extreme-weather

environment10 days ago•2 min saved

June Ocean Heat Hits Record as El Niño Approaches

Global ocean surface temperatures reached a new June record, surpassing 2023 and signaling potential hot spells and shifts in weather as El Niño is forecast to be the strongest in decades; continued heat uptake by the oceans, driven by human-caused warming, could drive more records and threaten marine ecosystems.

via The Guardian|

#climate-change #el-nino #environment

business13 days ago•20 min saved

Tariffs, quotas and El Niño push seafood prices higher

Seafood prices are rising globally due to tariffs, higher fuel costs, and tight supply, with about 80% of seafood imported and haddock quotas cut in Iceland and Canada; EU moves to restrict Russian fish and El Niño-driven disruptions could tighten supply further. Premium items like king crab and lobster remain near record highs, while shrimp prices have eased somewhat after tariff rulings. The result is higher costs for diners and restaurants even as dietary guidelines push for more seafood.

via Yahoo Finance|

#business #el-nino #inflation