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El Nino

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Could a Super El Niño Finally End Colorado’s Drought?
weather10 hours ago

Could a Super El Niño Finally End Colorado’s Drought?

A potential super El Niño could bring above-average precipitation and substantial snowfall to Colorado, offering hope that the state’s long-running drought may ease. Forecasts from the Climate Prediction Center show a trajectory toward El Niño conditions this summer and a non‑zero chance (up to a third) of a “strong” or super El Niño by late 2026, with warmer Pacific waters potentially boosting storms and the monsoon. Past super El Niños (1982–83, 1997–98, 2015–16) produced wetter winters in parts of Colorado, but impacts are uncertain and depend on regional factors; current statewide snowpack is only about 22% of normal, stressing reservoirs, so even a powerful El Niño is not a guaranteed fix. Authorities remain cautiously optimistic but emphasize the unpredictable nature of long-range weather.

via The Coloradoan|
#climate-prediction-center#colorado-drought#el-nino
Could a Super El Niño Rewrite This Winter’s Weather?
science1 day ago

Could a Super El Niño Rewrite This Winter’s Weather?

Forecasts suggest a rare, potentially strong “super El Niño” could form as ocean temperatures in the eastern Pacific warm, altering global weather for months. If it strengthens, it may suppress Atlantic hurricanes, bring warmer northern U.S. winters and wetter conditions to the South, with timing possibly starting as soon as June and peaking in fall/winter. However, forecasts face the spring predictability barrier and there’s no certainty yet that it will reach “super” strength.

via HuffPost|
#climate#el-nino#enso
U.S. Posts Record-Breaking March Heat as Strong El Niño Looms
environment1 day ago

U.S. Posts Record-Breaking March Heat as Strong El Niño Looms

March was the hottest month on record for the continental U.S. in NOAA data, with an average of 50.85°F (10.47°C) and ~9.35°F (5.19°C) above the 20th‑century normal, driving a surge of all‑time daily and monthly heat records. Forecasters anticipate a super‑strong El Niño this summer/fall that could push global temperatures higher for years and reshape weather patterns, potentially influencing drought, rainfall, and hurricane activity.

via PBS|
#climate-change#el-nino#environment
Alaska ends record-cold winter as El Niño looms with warmer, snow-light forecasts
weather1 day ago

Alaska ends record-cold winter as El Niño looms with warmer, snow-light forecasts

Alaska endured its coldest December–March in roughly 50 years, with Fairbanks posting its coldest period and Juneau experiencing a snowier December and March, while Anchorage logged its coldest March since 1960–61. Now forecasters anticipate a strong El Niño by mid-year, likely making summers 1–3 degrees warmer and winters 2–4 degrees warmer across most of the state, and substantially reducing snowfall, though some regions may see different effects.

via Alaska Public Media|
#alaska#el-nino#noaa
Early 2026 Outlook: Atlantic Hurricane Season Expected to Be Slightly Below Average
weather1 day ago

Early 2026 Outlook: Atlantic Hurricane Season Expected to Be Slightly Below Average

Colorado State University’s April forecast predicts 13 named storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes in the 2026 Atlantic season, a below-average tally driven by a likely later-arriving El Niño; the season runs June 1–Nov. 30 with about 75% of the long-term average, and there’s a 32% chance of a major hurricane making U.S. landfall and 35% for the Caribbean, with NOAA expected to release an additional outlook later.

via CBS News|
#atlantic-hurricane-season-2026#colorado-state-university-forecast#el-nino
El Niño-Driven Outlook Narrows 2026 Hurricane Season Predictions
weather1 day ago

El Niño-Driven Outlook Narrows 2026 Hurricane Season Predictions

Colorado State University’s early forecast for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season projects a somewhat below-average year (13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, 2 major hurricanes) due to a developing strong El Niño that increases wind shear and dampens activity; sea-surface temperatures are mixed, Gulf of Mexico activity may be less suppressed, and overall U.S. major hurricane landfall probability is about 32% (down from 43%), with Florida remaining the most at-risk state. Forecasts will be updated in June–August.

via Tampa Bay Times|
#csu-forecast#el-nino#gulf-of-mexico
California Braces for a Potentially Record-Setting El Niño Winter
weather2 days ago

California Braces for a Potentially Record-Setting El Niño Winter

Forecasters warn a potentially historic super El Niño could develop by fall, with NOAA predicting a >90% chance of El Niño and up to a 50% chance it will be strong; if it arrives, Southern California could see a wetter winter that replenishes water supplies but raises the risk of floods, debris flows and coastal erosion, even as it may reduce wildfire risk. Forecasters caution that even strong El Niños don’t always deliver predictable weather, citing past events (1982-83, 1997-98) that varied widely in rainfall. The pattern is tied to warmer Pacific waters and altered jet streams, and climate change could be intensifying swings; impacts may extend to marine life as warmer seas affect plankton and sea lion rookeries along the Channel Islands. More clarity is expected between May and June as models improve.

via Los Angeles Times|
#climate-change#el-nino#floods
March shatters U.S. heat record as El Niño looms
science2 days ago

March shatters U.S. heat record as El Niño looms

NOAA data show March 2026 was the hottest March on record for the continental U.S., with an average temperature of 50.85°F—9.35°F above the 20th‑century March norm—surpassing the previous all‑month record. The month featured thousands of daily heat records and highlighted the driest January–March period in years. Climate scientists say the extreme warmth is linked to human-caused warming, and forecasts point to a super‑strong El Niño forming later this year, likely pushing global temperatures higher into 2026–27 and influencing droughts and hurricane patterns.

via CBS News|
#climate-change#continental-united-states#el-nino
El Niño’s fingerprint signals a quieter Atlantic hurricane season
weather2 days ago

El Niño’s fingerprint signals a quieter Atlantic hurricane season

Colorado State University’s initial hurricane forecast calls for a slightly below-average Atlantic season—about 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 2 major—driven primarily by the return of El Niño, which is expected to bring upper‑air wind shear that can weaken tropical systems. The La Niña pattern has ended and El Niño should be in place for the season’s peak (mid‑Aug to mid‑Oct). Yet mixed ocean temperatures across the Atlantic and the possibility of hotter‑than‑expected oceans mean the forecast carries uncertainty; stronger heat could erode El Niño’s quieting effect and spur rapid intensification, so conditions remain variable as the season approaches.

via CNN|
#colorado-state-university-forecast#el-nino#hurricane-season-2026
Record heat swamps the U.S. in March as El Niño looms
science2 days ago

Record heat swamps the U.S. in March as El Niño looms

March 2026 was the hottest March on record for the continental United States, averaging 50.85 F (10.47 C) — 9.35 F (5.19 C) above the 20th‑century March norm — and shattering heat records across the Lower 48, with NOAA noting more than 19,800 daily heat records and over 2,000 monthly records; January–March was the driest on record. Forecasters say a superstrong El Niño could push global temperatures higher into 2026–2027 and reshape weather patterns, potentially boosting Pacific hurricane activity and stressing water supplies in the West.

via Yahoo|
#climate-change#el-nino#heat-records
Earthset: Six decades of warming since Apollo's Earthrise
science2 days ago

Earthset: Six decades of warming since Apollo's Earthrise

Earthrise to Earthset uses two images taken 58 years apart to highlight how CO2 rose from about 320 ppm in 1968 to ~430 ppm in 2026 and the global mean temperature climbed about 1.2°C, fueling more extreme heat, Arctic ice loss, glacier melt and sea-level rise. The warming tracks with increasing Earth energy imbalance and is amplified by El Niño events; with forecasts of another El Niño later in 2026, temperatures could push past recent records, underscoring the urgency of reaching net-zero emissions.

via The Conversation|
#climate-change#earth-observation#el-nino
Southwest heat dome pushes March heat past records in Arizona
weather21 days ago

Southwest heat dome pushes March heat past records in Arizona

A March heat record was shattered near Martinez Lake, Arizona, as temperatures reached 110°F, the hottest March day in U.S. history for the month. The prior 108°F March record (set in Texas in 1954 and tied in 2020) was surpassed, with forecasters warning that a persistent West heat dome could bring more record highs into the weekend and into the Plains. The heat is being amplified by El Niño and marine heat waves, signaling an ongoing pattern of extreme warmth with millions facing 90°F heat in coming days.

via The Washington Post|
#arizona-united-states#climate-change#el-nino
Global warming speeds up after 2015, raising risk of 1.5°C breach before 2030
environment-climate-change1 month ago

Global warming speeds up after 2015, raising risk of 1.5°C breach before 2030

New analysis from the Potsdam Institute finds that after removing natural variability (El Niño, volcanic activity, solar cycles), the rate of global warming has accelerated since around 2015, with recent decades warming ~0.35°C per decade—faster than the ~0.2°C per decade from 1970–2015—across five datasets. If this pace continues, the 1.5°C limit could be exceeded before 2030. The study focuses on the pace, not the causes, and underscores the need for rapid CO2 emission cuts.

via ScienceDaily|
#climate-acceleration#el-nino#environment-climate-change