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Global Warming

All articles tagged with #global warming

2026 El Niño Shatters Records, Setting Stage for Extreme Winter Weather
climate10 days ago

2026 El Niño Shatters Records, Setting Stage for Extreme Winter Weather

The 2026-2027 El Niño event is on track to become the strongest in recorded history, with peak ocean temperature anomalies projected to exceed 4.1°C in the Niño 3.4 region. This unprecedented strength is driven by record-breaking westerly wind bursts and a massive subsurface Kelvin wave that has deepened the thermocline by over 80 meters in some areas. The event is expected to peak in November or December, triggering a stationary atmospheric wave pattern that will dominate global circulation through spring. Forecasters predict a split-flow winter across North America, with milder conditions in the north and an active storm track in the south, while Europe faces above-average temperatures. The rapid intensification has already set record wind anomalies, surpassing the 2015-2016 event in speed and strength.

Climate Impact Lab Warns Super El Niño Could Claim 451,000 Lives by February
climate-and-environment14 days ago

Climate Impact Lab Warns Super El Niño Could Claim 451,000 Lives by February

A new report from the Climate Impact Lab projects that the current record-breaking El Niño will cause approximately 451,000 excess heat-related deaths globally between June 2026 and February 2027. The event is intensifying global temperatures by 1.2 degrees Celsius above normal, a level typically expected in two decades. While the phenomenon is natural, its severity is amplified by fossil fuel-driven warming, disproportionately affecting nations in the Global South. Researchers urge immediate emergency measures, including heat warnings and cooling centers, to mitigate the crisis before it becomes the new normal.

Arctic Sea Ice Hits 2026 Minimum, Tying Decade-Old Low
climate15 days ago

Arctic Sea Ice Hits 2026 Minimum, Tying Decade-Old Low

Arctic sea ice reached its annual minimum extent on September 12, 2026, covering 4.6 million square kilometers. This figure ties 2008, 2010, and 2025 for the 10th-lowest recorded minimum since satellite observations began in 1978. While the extent has plateaued in recent years due to increased cloud cover, it remains significantly lower than historical averages, with the last 20 years accounting for the 20 lowest minimums on record.

Record El Niño linked to 451,000 projected heat deaths by 2027
climate16 days ago

Record El Niño linked to 451,000 projected heat deaths by 2027

A new report by the Climate Impact Lab projects that the current 'super El Niño' will cause approximately 451,000 excess heat-related deaths globally between June 2026 and February 2027. The event has already broken temperature records, with Pacific sea surface temperatures reaching 3.05C above average, exceeding the 2015 record. Scientists warn that this phenomenon, amplified by human-caused climate change, is acting as a 'postcard from the future,' previewing conditions expected within two decades. The highest mortality risks are concentrated in the Global South, particularly in Nigeria, Indonesia, and the Sahel region, where infrastructure is less resilient. Experts urge immediate emergency measures, including heat warnings and cooling centers, to mitigate the crisis.

Record-Breaking El Niño Projected to Cause 451,000 Global Heat Deaths by February 2027
climate16 days ago

Record-Breaking El Niño Projected to Cause 451,000 Global Heat Deaths by February 2027

A new study projects that the current record-breaking El Niño will cause approximately 451,000 additional heat-related deaths globally between June 2026 and February 2027. The event, which has already shattered temperature records, is amplifying the effects of human-caused climate change. Developing nations in the Global South, particularly in Africa and Asia, face the highest mortality risks due to limited access to cooling infrastructure and healthcare. While the El Niño is a natural phenomenon, its unprecedented intensity is driven by a warmer baseline climate, leading to severe droughts, wildfires, and food insecurity. Experts urge immediate emergency measures, including heat warnings and cooling centers, to mitigate the crisis, warning that current conditions may become the new normal within two decades.

Record El Niño to Trigger 450,000 Heat Deaths, Prompting California Emergency Declaration
climate-and-environment16 days ago

Record El Niño to Trigger 450,000 Heat Deaths, Prompting California Emergency Declaration

A new study projects that the current super El Niño will cause over 450,000 additional heat-related deaths globally by February 2027, with the heaviest toll in developing nations. In response to the historic weather event, California Governor Gavin Newsom has declared a state of emergency to mobilize resources against anticipated severe storms and flooding.

Record-breaking El Niño signals the planet’s hottest year on the horizon
environment17 days ago

Record-breaking El Niño signals the planet’s hottest year on the horizon

El Niño has surged to record heat in the Pacific (ONI around 3.05C, edging past 3.02C from 2015), with models predicting a peak near 4.0C. The event could be the strongest in about 1,000 years and may push 2027 toward the hottest year on record, as climate change amplifies heat and extreme weather worldwide, triggering heatwaves, droughts, floods, wildfires, and food- and water-security pressures.

Record atmospheric water vapour peaks as El Niño and warming amplify climate extremes
environment19 days ago

Record atmospheric water vapour peaks as El Niño and warming amplify climate extremes

August set a new global record for atmospheric water vapour (27.35 kg per square metre), driven by ongoing global warming and a strengthening El Niño; the record coincides with August being the hottest month on ERA5 data and suggests more intense rainfall and stronger storms as humidity fuels storm energy, with scientists warning the warming-El Niño combination could push temperatures to new highs next year.

August 2026 Joins Global Heat Records, Amplifying Climate Urgency
climate29 days ago

August 2026 Joins Global Heat Records, Amplifying Climate Urgency

August 2026 tied July 2023 as the hottest month on record at about 1.65°C above preindustrial levels, with record sea-surface temperatures. El Niño is set to intensify later this year, likely pushing heat and extremes higher as the climate crisis underpins the warming. Impacts include wildfires, crop losses, heat-related deaths, and rising prices, with calls for a rapid shift to clean energy and stronger climate resilience.

August 2026 Breaks Global Heat and Moisture Records as El Niño Returns
environment29 days ago

August 2026 Breaks Global Heat and Moisture Records as El Niño Returns

August 2026 was the warmest August and the moistest month on record in ERA5 data, with global temperatures about 1.65°C (2.97°F) above pre-industrial levels and a record 1.08 inches of precipitable water, signaling a wetter, more extreme atmosphere. The warmth and moisture are fed by greenhouse gas emissions and a strong El Niño returning, which is projected to peak in December and could make 2026 the warmest year on record, likely increasing rainfall extremes and contributing to events like major flash floods such as the Grand Canyon incident.

Weak Atlantic Conveyor Could Cool Europe While Accelerating Global Warming
science1 month ago

Weak Atlantic Conveyor Could Cool Europe While Accelerating Global Warming

A new Nature Geoscience study finds the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is weakening; if it collapses, Northern Europe could cool by about 5–15°C (9–27°F), but the global climate may warm overall as heat builds up in the ocean when the circulation slows. Greenland ice melt adds freshwater that further slows the current, and past weak periods tend to redistribute heat rather than reduce total planetary heat, suggesting a potential net increase in global warming as temperatures rise.

Super El Niño May Make 2027 the Hottest Year on Record
science1 month ago

Super El Niño May Make 2027 the Hottest Year on Record

NOAA now expects a 90% chance of a “very strong” El Niño, with models predicting the strongest on record and enough heat to push 2027 toward the hottest year in global history—roughly 1.7–1.85°C (3–3.33°F) above preindustrial levels—potentially fast-forwarding the current warming trend by about 13 years. The heat spike is temporary as El Niño fades, but ongoing greenhouse gas emissions keep the long-term temperature trajectory rising.

Warming Accelerates: Study Warns 1.5°C Limit Could Be Breached by 2030
climate-change2 months ago

Warming Accelerates: Study Warns 1.5°C Limit Could Be Breached by 2030

A Geophysical Research Letters study, with 98% confidence, finds global warming has accelerated since 2015, rising about 0.63°F per decade compared with 0.36°F per decade from 1970–2015. If this pace continues, the 1.5°C Paris limit could be breached before 2030, risking climate tipping points such as ocean circulation breakdown, permafrost thaw, and coral reef loss, and leading to more extreme weather; meeting zero CO2 emissions is needed to stop warming, but current politics may allow the pace to continue unless major polluters—especially the U.S.—act decisively.

Climate Warming Quickens: New Study Finds Accelerating Rates Threatening 1.5°C Target
environment2 months ago

Climate Warming Quickens: New Study Finds Accelerating Rates Threatening 1.5°C Target

A Geophysical Research Letters study finds global warming is accelerating: 0.35°C per decade from 2015–2025 versus about 0.2°C per decade from 1970–2015 after filtering out El Niño, solar, and volcanic influences, with 98% statistical certainty. If this pace continues, the 1.5°C limit could be exceeded before 2030, underscoring the urgency of reducing fossil-fuel CO2 emissions to zero to slow warming.

El Niño heads toward record strength, but effects won’t be uniform
world2 months ago

El Niño heads toward record strength, but effects won’t be uniform

Forecasters project the current El Niño to become the strongest on record, intensifying the global heat signal and making regional weather shifts more predictable. Impacts will vary by location and season, with potential droughts or floods in different regions, a milder US winter in the north and wetter fall/winter in the south, and likely record warmth in 2026–27.