Putin's Dilemma: How Russia's Uprising Could Impact China's Xi

Putin finds himself in a deadlock situation with the ongoing war in Ukraine, as he cannot win and defeat could lead to loss of power and shame. He has chosen an inertial path, waiting for an event like Trump winning the US election and wanting to negotiate with him. He hopes Ukraine and the West will eventually go to negotiations on his terms, potentially freezing the conflict and obtaining the consolation prize of the occupied Ukrainian territories. Putin's only salvation are options that at least provide some personal way out and give him a chance to avoid a humiliating defeat.