Rethinking sea-level baseline widens coastal risk estimates

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Source: PBS
Rethinking sea-level baseline widens coastal risk estimates
Photo: PBS
TL;DR

A Nature study finds that hundreds of sea-level assessments underestimate baseline coastal water heights by about 1 foot, which could mean up to 37% more land could flood and 77–132 million more people could be at risk if sea levels rise ~3 feet by the end of the century, with the Pacific and Southeast Asia most affected; the discrepancy stems from how land and water elevations are measured and may require planners to account for waves and tides rather than assuming a zero baseline.

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