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Inflation Risk

All articles tagged with #inflation risk

Cheap Bills, Big Burden: The Hidden $1.45T Treasury Shortfall
economy-and-policy17 days ago

Cheap Bills, Big Burden: The Hidden $1.45T Treasury Shortfall

A Fortune report reveals the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee’s warning of a $1.45 trillion funding shortfall in fiscal 2027–28 as the government finances a roughly $2 trillion annual deficit. It notes that Scott Bessent has leaned on cheap short-term bills to keep borrowing costs down, but that approach leaves the government more exposed to inflation and rising rates. The piece ties this tactic to Janet Yellen’s prior policy and to economists Miran and Roubini, and warns of two looming waves of long-term debt as the Fed reduces its balance sheet, potentially stressing markets even as debt-service costs outpace major priorities like defense.

Oil Shock and Fed Caution Push Markets Toward Uncertain, High-Risk Horizon
business5 months ago

Oil Shock and Fed Caution Push Markets Toward Uncertain, High-Risk Horizon

As Iran-related conflict-driven oil surges heighten inflation concerns, traditional hedges fail and stocks fall while central banks pause on rate cuts; the Fed is unlikely to ease soon and futures hint at mixed policy signals, sending yields higher and gold lower. Traders face dwindling shelter from risk, raising the specter of a volatile, high-stakes period that strategists call one of the riskiest moments of the century.