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Lockup

All articles tagged with #lockup

SpaceX’s Second Lockup Unlock Spurs Sell Rating by DZ Bank
markets8 days ago

SpaceX’s Second Lockup Unlock Spurs Sell Rating by DZ Bank

SpaceX’s second post-IPO lockup tranche took effect, freeing up up to 319 million restricted shares (about 7% of shares under the 180-day lockup), with SPCX slipping in premarket trading. DZ Bank initiated coverage on the same day with a Sell rating and a $100 fair value, citing valuation risk given the capital needs to fund SpaceX’s future ventures. Musk owns roughly 48% of SpaceX and cannot sell until June 12, 2027; the unlock follows an August 6 release of about 911.5 million shares and a 389 million-share increase from the Cursor acquisition, with the lockups unwinding across multiple dates rather than all at once.

SpaceX in the spotlight as rival rocket milestone collides with looming share unlocks
finance9 days ago

SpaceX in the spotlight as rival rocket milestone collides with looming share unlocks

SpaceX shares (SPCX) remain in focus after China’s LandSpace recovered the Zhuque-3 booster and delivered satellites, signaling rising competitive pressure even as SpaceX maintains leadership in reusable flight; the stock also faces a wave of share unlocks, with around 319 million SPCX shares becoming tradable on Day 70 and further large unlocks through 2027, while SpaceX’s IPO price has been revisited with Aug. 10 trading and Elon Musk’s 6.42 billion shares staying locked through 2027.

SpaceX Insiders Split on Lockup Exit as Stock Stumbles
business22 days ago

SpaceX Insiders Split on Lockup Exit as Stock Stumbles

Early SpaceX investors are torn about selling as insider lockups unwind; Ryan D. remains bullish on long‑term growth but braced for volatility, Kris Dehnert planned to take profits from his $25k entry and would exit if shares drop below $50, and Lance Breitstein would cash out around $130, while more unlocks by year‑end could weigh on the stock even as Musk's long‑term AI and space ambitions—plus Starship progress—drive the narrative.

SpaceX unlocks more than 900M shares, boosting float and market implications
markets23 days ago

SpaceX unlocks more than 900M shares, boosting float and market implications

More than 911.5 million SpaceX Class A shares will unlock Thursday, doubling the publicly tradable float since the IPO and potentially weighing on the stock after earnings showed larger AI-related capex; the stock closed around $108.27 amid a recent decline. The larger float could raise SpaceX’s weighting in the Nasdaq-100 to above 3.5% after the September rebalance, depending on performance. Musk’s Class B shares remain locked for a year, delaying potential sales.

SpaceX unlocks 911 million shares, doubling public float and nudging Nasdaq weight
markets23 days ago

SpaceX unlocks 911 million shares, doubling public float and nudging Nasdaq weight

More than 900 million SpaceX shares (about 911.5 million) are set to unlock today, more than doubling the publicly tradable float and allowing some employees and early investors to sell. The move comes after SpaceX’s volatile post-IPO period, including a slide after earnings and AI-related capital expenditure concerns, with SPCX trading around $108 and down from its peak and IPO target of $135. The unlock could weigh on the stock in the near term, and it coincides with a potential increase in SpaceX’s weighting in the Nasdaq 100 after the September rebalance; Musk’s Class B shares remain locked for a year after the IPO. This is the first in a slate of lockups expected over the next year, reshaping liquidity and investor dynamics for SpaceX.

SpaceX braces for first earnings as shares slide ahead of insider lockup
markets24 days ago

SpaceX braces for first earnings as shares slide ahead of insider lockup

SpaceX will report its Q2 results as its first earnings release as a public company, with the stock under pressure after about a 30% drop from its IPO. An upcoming insider lockup could release up to roughly 20% of shares, adding supply. Analysts expect around $6.81 billion in Q2 revenue and an adjusted loss per share of about $0.24, with EBITDA near $2 billion; capex is projected to rise toward $118 billion by 2028 and debt to grow. Investors will focus on SpaceX’s AI infrastructure investments, Starlink, Starship development, and potential Musk-driven strategic moves (including talks of a Tesla merger) as catalysts and risks for the stock.

SpaceX Prepares Maiden Earnings as Lockup Looms and stock stays under pressure
finance25 days ago

SpaceX Prepares Maiden Earnings as Lockup Looms and stock stays under pressure

SpaceX is set to report its Q2 results—the first since going public—with revenue around $6.81 billion and an adjusted loss per share of about $0.24. Investors will scrutinize capital spending and debt levels, which are expected to rise sharply into FY2028, along with Starlink’s performance and Starship development. A looming August 6 insider lockup could release hundreds of millions of shares, potentially adding selling pressure and keeping the stock under pressure despite a near-term earnings catalyst.

SpaceX Earnings Test and Lockup Could Reshape Its Public Float
business25 days ago

SpaceX Earnings Test and Lockup Could Reshape Its Public Float

SpaceX (SPCX) will report its first quarterly results as a public company this week, while 911 million insider shares become eligible to sell, potentially tripling the public float; markets price roughly a 70% chance of missing earnings, with Starlink’s growth, cloud partnerships and government deals seen as crucial offsets to cash burn from Starship and xAI, and Rocket Lab acting as a proxied read on the space sector.

SpaceX braces for Q2 results as stock slides to new low
technology26 days ago

SpaceX braces for Q2 results as stock slides to new low

SpaceX will report its Q2 results as a public company for the first time, with the stock at a fresh all-time low amid likely insider selling after the Aug. 6 lockup. Analysts expect about $6.87 billion in revenue, an adjusted loss of $0.25 per share, and EBITDA of roughly $2.03 billion, while capital spending could surge to about $118.4 billion by FY2028 and debt to over $218 billion. The narrative centers on SpaceX’s heavy investment in AI infrastructure and Starlink, plus ongoing Starship/Mechazilla development, all set against merger chatter involving Musk’s other ventures.

SpaceX stock set for volatility as big unlock approaches after earnings
business26 days ago

SpaceX stock set for volatility as big unlock approaches after earnings

SpaceX has fallen about 20% since its June IPO, with a record drop in market value. A huge unlock is imminent: 911.5 million shares (12% of the float) will be available after earnings, with more unlocks expected this year, likely weighing on the price. Not all unlocked shares will be sold, and some short sellers may cover, but the unlocks reflect how SpaceX's tiny initial float amplified moves and could signal a shift away from the AI hype as much as half the shares could be public by next June.

SpaceX stock drifts to fresh closing low as earnings loom
finance28 days ago

SpaceX stock drifts to fresh closing low as earnings loom

SpaceX's stock closed at a fresh weekly low ahead of its second-quarter earnings due Aug. 4, after a volatile week that left SPCX down about 5.8% and roughly 30% from its debut. A lockup expiration on Aug. 6 could free as much as 20% of shares, potentially adding selling pressure. Analysts note SpaceX's heavy capital needs and rising debt—projected to climb well beyond $200 billion by 2028—raising questions about returns, while merger chatter with Tesla and potential China data concerns add to the uncertainty.

SpaceX stock sinks to fresh closing low as earnings approach and lockup looms
finance28 days ago

SpaceX stock sinks to fresh closing low as earnings approach and lockup looms

SpaceX stock (SPCX) closed at a fresh low ahead of its Aug. 4 Q2 earnings as a volatile week presses the shares lower and a lockup expiration on Aug. 6 could release up to 20% of shares. The stock has fallen about 30% from its IPO and roughly 50% from an all-time high. Investors are weighing SpaceX’s massive capex plans (projected from about $48.7B this year to $118.4B by FY2028) and rising debt (potentially around $218B by FY2028) against returns, while merger chatter with Tesla could invite regulatory scrutiny. SpaceX reports earnings next week.

SpaceX Faces $25B Short Bet as Earnings Loom and Lockups Draw Near
markets1 month ago

SpaceX Faces $25B Short Bet as Earnings Loom and Lockups Draw Near

SpaceX (SPCX) is facing about $25 billion in bearish bets with roughly 32% of its tradable float short ahead of its first earnings on Aug 4. The bear case is driven by staged lockups that will release 911.5 million shares unconditionally on Aug 6 and a second tranche of 455.8 million shares contingent on the stock hitting a price target, fueling potential supply and short covering dynamics. Musk pushed back on X, arguing that firms with large short interests rarely survive; analysts warn a short squeeze could occur if earnings surprise to the upside, but cautious traders may wait for post-earnings supply to settle. SPCX traded around $123.54 on July 21, down about 40% from its June high.

SpaceX’s Post-IPO Slide Could Worsen as Lockup Looms
investing1 month ago

SpaceX’s Post-IPO Slide Could Worsen as Lockup Looms

SpaceX’s stock SPCX has tumbled from its IPO highs, with roughly a 25% drop in a month, as August 4’s lockup cliff threatens a flood of newly tradable shares. Insiders (including Elon Musk and Gwynne Shotwell) last traded June 11, fueling supply concerns ahead of an earnings snapshot that could matter less than the wave of unlocked shares. Bears point to skewed options (november puts/calls around 3.03; March 2027 near 16) and weakening sentiment, while competition and mixed catalysts temper SpaceX’s bull case. The setup suggests further downside unless insiders extend the lockup or SpaceX delivers a clear commercial breakthrough before the data.)