
SpaceX’s wireless ambitions face $130 billion cost barrier as incumbents rally
SpaceX is negotiating to lease 80,000 U.S. cell sites to launch a fourth major wireless carrier, but new estimates suggest the project requires over $130 billion in additional capital. While SpaceX has secured spectrum deals and FCC approvals for 15,000 new satellites, the high cost has cooled market expectations, with the probability of a 2027 launch dropping to 27%. Incumbent carriers like T-Mobile have rallied, with T-Mobile explicitly ruling out any partnership with SpaceX.




