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Ubs Research

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Midterm Gridlock Seen as Catalyst for 2026 Market Rally
investments22 days ago

Midterm Gridlock Seen as Catalyst for 2026 Market Rally

Investors are positioning for a post-midterm rally, with historical data suggesting the S&P 500 gains significantly in the nine months following congressional elections. Analysts note that legislative gridlock often reduces policy uncertainty, benefiting sectors like defense and technology, while betting markets favor a Democratic House and split Senate outcome.

business3 years ago

The Diverging Fate of Retail Stores: Closures and Expansions Amidst Economic Uncertainty.

Investment bank UBS predicts that 50,000 retail stores will close in the US by 2027, excluding gas and food service stations, due to the costs of operating retail stores, such as leases in top malls and hourly worker wages. The retail sectors that will see the most closures include clothing accessories and consumer electronics stores at an estimated 23,000 combined. However, as weaker retail chains vanish from the landscape, market share will further shift to strong national players, such as Walmart, Home Depot, and Costco, who have the potential to haul in $210 billion in sales.