Security guarantees near agreement as Russia presses on in Ukraine
ISW’s Jan 29 assessment describes modest Russian advances across multiple fronts, a move toward finalized US‑Ukraine security guarantees with the US playing a key role, and Moscow’s rejection of long‑term safeguards or a sustained ceasefire, even as a reported week‑long energy‑strike moratorium circulates. The briefing also highlights Molniya FPV drones, Russia’s recruitment push for unmanned forces, and Belarusian airspace incursions as part of a broader Phase Zero prep for potential NATO confrontation.
