
Belarus as Russia’s Potential Drone Launch Pad Against Ukraine, ISW Warns
ISW says Belarus is being positioned to justify or enable Russian drone strikes into Ukraine from its territory, citing Belarusian claims of Ukrainian drone incursions and Kyiv warnings of pressure to use Belarus for attacks; Russia could use Belarus to target western Ukrainian supply routes, while some Kremlin voices retreat from threats to strike Kyiv directly. Moscow has tightened its airspace in response to Ukrainian long-range drone campaigns, including the first-ever closure of Kaliningrad airport over drone threats. Ukrainian forces have advanced in Slovyansk and western Zaporizhia as Russia conducts long-range strikes with missiles and drones (about 2 missiles and 122 drones overnight), with Ukraine downing most drones and reporting damage to several facilities, including UN/WFP warehouses in Dnipro and an Odesa USV strike.













