Massive Polymarket Bet on Putin's Exit Fuels Insider-Trade Doubts
TL;DR Summary
A Polymarket bettor placed roughly $409,000 on Vladimir Putin leaving office by December 31, 2026, with about an 11% implied probability, reviving scrutiny of insider trading on prediction markets after prior scandals. While the bet is notable, there’s no evidence of an imminent ouster and Putin remains in power amid ongoing Ukraine conflict, making the outcome uncertain despite market activity.
- Does Someone on Polymarket Know That Putin Is Going Down? Futurism
- Big Polymarket bets have been placed on Putin’s downfall NBC News
- Mystery Polymarket Bettor Stakes Around $400,000 On Putin's Ouster Before End Of Year Forbes
- Gambler bets £300,000 on Putin losing power this year The Telegraph
- The Betting Markets Just Moved on Putin's Downfall — and Some Suspect the Big Money Knows Something the Public Doesn't National Security Journal
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