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Insider Trading

All articles tagged with #insider trading

politics5 hours ago•173 min saved

White House warns staff against using nonpublic information for prediction-market bets

The White House circulated an internal memo warning federal employees that using nonpublic government information to place wagers on prediction markets (and related platforms) could constitute insider trading and violates federal ethics rules, a warning prompted by scrutiny of high-volume trades linked to the Iran war. The memo emphasizes that such misuse is a serious offense and will not be tolerated; officials noted there is no public evidence tying any White House staff to trades, but lawmakers have pressed for tighter regulation as the CFTC’s stance shifts and Congress considers additional bills.

via CNN|

#insider-trading #kalshi #note-top5-tags-requested-adjusting-to-five-kalshi-and-polymarket-are-included

politics23 hours ago•4 min saved

Insider-trading concerns push White House to warn against Iran bets

The White House reportedly warned staff in a March 24 email not to place bets on Iran-related events on prediction markets amid concerns about insider trading and the use of nonpublic information. The alert followed a spike in big trades around Trump’s announcements—more than $500 million in crude oil futures in about 15 minutes before a pause in Iran hostilities, and a later large bet on oil prices ahead of a two-week ceasefire. Senators Warren and Whitehouse urged the CFTC to investigate possible misappropriation of government information, and Rep. Torres is seeking an SEC/CFTC probe. The White House says federal employees are barred from trading on nonpublic information, and market operators have tightened their rules.

via CNBC|

#insider-trading #iran #politics

world1 day ago•2 min saved

White House Warns Staff Against Using War Intel for Market Bets

The White House sent an email on March 24 warning staff not to trade on insider information about the Iran war after a surge of suspicious, well-timed trades in oil futures, prediction markets and stocks ahead of key moments. The caution follows President Trump’s threats to bomb Iranian civilian infrastructure and a spike in market activity, including about $580 million in oil futures bought minutes before his announcement, underscoring concerns about using confidential information for profit.

via The New York Times|

#insider-trading #iran-war #market-trading

business2 days ago•3 min saved

Fresh Polymarket Wallets Cash In on Iran Ceasefire Bets

An analysis of blockchain data shows about 50 newly created Polymarket wallets placed large yes bets ahead of a US–Iran ceasefire announcement, earning some traders hundreds of thousands of dollars even as the contract remained disputed; the pattern echoes earlier profitable bursts around political events and fuels ongoing debates about insider information and the need for regulation in prediction markets.

via The Guardian|

#blockchain #business #ceasefire

business11 days ago•3 min saved

Prosecutors Examine Polymarket Bets for Potential Insider Trading

U.S. prosecutors in New York met with Polymarket to discuss how existing insider-trading laws might apply to suspicious bets, though no accusations have been made. The piece notes notable bets and ongoing regulatory scrutiny of prediction markets, including Polymarket’s US relaunch after a prior ban and Kalshi’s regulatory challenges, as markets grow in popularity and proponents push for stronger integrity rules.

via Gizmodo|

#business #insider-trading #kalshi

us-politics13 days ago•14 min saved

Timely trades before Trump announcements spark calls for probe

Reuters identified four notably timed trades ahead of Trump’s announcements, prompting concerns about insider trading and the oversight of prediction markets. The White House reiterated that ethics rules bar federal officials from profiting on nonpublic information, while regulators like the CFTC and DOJ say they are monitoring such activity amid ongoing debates over platform rules for Polymarket and Kalshi. The highlighted trades include 2025 option bets before tariffs were paused, a January 2026 bet on Maduro’s ouster on Polymarket, bets linked to the Iran conflict in February, and a $500 million oil futures wager shortly before Trump delayed an energy attack. Experts warn that proving insider trading in commodities and prediction markets is complex, underscoring calls for clearer regulatory guidance.

via The Independent|

#ethics #insider-trading #prediction-markets

politics14 days ago•16 min saved

Iran Bets Stir Questions Over CFTC’s Stance on Prediction Markets

Rolling Stone reports that the CFTC has softened its crackdown on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, even as unusual trades tied to Trump-era Iran actions drew scrutiny, including a reported $1.5 billion bet on oil and S&P futures just before Trump's post. Lawmakers are calling for investigations into possible insider trading; Kalshi and Polymarket have tightened rules, and the PREDICT Act was introduced to bar insiders from trading on political events. The piece also notes a broader enforcement slowdown at the CFTC and SEC during Trump’s tenure and that there’s been no announced probe into the Iran trades.

via Rolling Stone|

#cftc #insider-trading #iran

politics15 days ago•16 min saved

Senate targets insider trading in prediction markets with new bill

A bipartisan group of senators introduced the Public Integrity in Financial Markets Act of 2026 to bar lawmakers, the president, congressional staff and other federal officials from trading on insider information through prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. The bill would define insider information as nonpublic information that a reasonable investor would view as material to a prediction-market contract, signaling Washington’s intensified effort to curb potential conflicts of interest as these platforms gain prominence. The move follows other related proposals and ongoing scrutiny of prediction markets from lawmakers and regulators.

via Politico|

#insider-trading #kalshi #politics

business16 days ago•2 min saved

Krugman: Trump’s Iran moves may have sparked insider-market profit opportunities

Economist Paul Krugman argues insiders may have profited from Trump’s Iran messaging by riding market moves—citing pre-announcement spikes in S&P futures and crude oil trades—while noting past timely bets on geopolitical events (e.g., Polymarket) and urging an investigation into potential insider information."

via Futurism|

#business #insider-trading #iran

politics16 days ago•2 min saved

Congress weighs sweeping ban on prediction markets tied to sports and politics

A bipartisan push in Congress would ban prediction markets on elections, sports, government actions, and military moves, with the STOP Corrupt Bets Act led by Sen. Merkley and a House version by Rep. Raskin. Competing bills seek to ban or restrict similar contracts, citing corruption and insider trading risks, while proponents argue regulation via the CFTC is sufficient. Industry players like Kalshi and Polymarket have signaled reforms or safety measures, and a Government Accountability Office study is being considered as part of the legislative package.

via Axios|

#insider-trading #kalshi #politics

business16 days ago•8 min saved

Pre-Announcement Bets Ignite Insider-Trading Concerns Over Trump-Iran Talks

Minutes before President Trump’s post about peace talks with Iran, traders executed roughly 6,200 Brent/WTI futures contracts worth about $580 million and sparked a spike in S&P futures, prompting concerns of insider knowledge and calls to ban prediction markets; Iran denies negotiations, and the White House rejects insider-trading claims.

via The Real News Network|

#business #insider-trading #iran

politics16 days ago•20 min saved

Markets Churn, Monuments Rise: Trump’s Day of Power and Scrutiny

Heather Cox Richardson links Paul Krugman’s claim that people close to Trump traded on national secrets to a broader pattern of power and risk, citing a sharp, pre-announcement spike in S&P 500 and oil futures tied to a false Iran‑war update. The piece then traces Trump’s ambitious Washington remodeling, energy policy shifts, ICE deployments at airports amid DHS funding talks, and the Save America Act’s voter‑restrictive aims, while noting Florida’s special election and Pentagon troop movements to the Middle East as indicators of a presidency using government for wealth and power alongside governance strain.

via Letters from an American | Heather Cox Richardson|

#ice #insider-trading #krugman

business17 days ago•7 min saved

Markets Under Scrutiny as Iran War News Triggers Big Bets on Polymarket and Oil Futures

Amid the US-Israeli war on Iran, large, timing-sensitive bets on Polymarket and premarket moves in oil and S&P 500 futures have drawn insider-trading scrutiny, with analysts flagging suspicious patterns like newly created accounts netting millions before key events; lawmakers push restrictions (BETS OFF Act), while Polymarket and Kalshi respond with tightened rules and guardrails amid broader calls for regulatory action.

via Al Jazeera|

#business #insider-trading #iran-war

politics17 days ago•8 min saved

Bipartisan Push to Ban Official Trading in Political Prediction Markets

A bipartisan bill dubbed the PREDICT Act would bar members of Congress, the president, vice president and senior executive branch staff from trading in political prediction markets (e.g., Polymarket, Kalshi), extending to dependents and staff, with penalties including a 10% fine of the transaction value and profits owed to the U.S. Treasury. The proposal arrives as lawmakers push similar restrictions and platforms adjust rules to curb potential insider trading in these markets.

via Politico|

#congressional-trading-ban #executive-branch #insider-trading

politics17 days ago•4 min saved

Mysterious pre-decision trades loom over Trump's war moves

Axios analyzes data showing suspicious pre-announcement trading around Trump’s war decisions, including a sudden oil futures spike before a pause and a burst of Polymarket bets predicting a strike on Iran. While the timing is striking and could imply insider knowledge or coordinated trading, authorities say there’s no evidence that Trump or officials were involved, and the piece places the patterns in a broader context of reduced enforcement against insiders under the administration.

via Axios|

#financial-markets #insider-trading #iran-war