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Fedpolicy

All articles tagged with #fedpolicy

markets1 hour ago•37 min saved

Treasury Yields Signal Inflation Anxiety, Pressuring Warsh on Rates

Rising U.S. Treasury yields reflect growing market worry about inflation and whether the Fed will back up its tough talk with action. With oil prices pushed higher by Iran tensions, the 10-year yield sits around 4.68% and the 2-year about 4.33%, signaling bond-market unease about rate hikes. Traders priced roughly a 38% chance of a rate increase at the next policy meeting (vs. 62% for a hold), indicating Warsh’s hawkish stance may face testing by inflation dynamics and financing needs from tech debt and a larger deficit.

via MarketWatch|

#fedpolicy #inflation #interest-rates

economy4 months ago•3 min saved

Inflation sticks as growth slows ahead of Iran-triggered oil shock

The Commerce Department revises Q4 2025 GDP to a 0.7% annualized gain (half the prior estimate), with real final sales to private purchasers up 1.9% in Q4. Core inflation remains stubborn, with the January core PCE at 3.1% year over year and 3.7% annualized over the last three months. Consumer spending barely grew in January (+0.1%), while the saving rate rose to 4.5%. The labor market shows resilience (January job openings up 396,000 and a 4.2% openings rate), but analysts warn the Iran conflict could push energy prices higher, slowing growth in Q2 and complicating Fed policy, even as AI investment is eyed as a potential future boost not yet evident in Q4 2025.

via Axios|

#consumerspending #economy #fedpolicy

finance-and-business2 years ago•2 min saved

"Global Markets Await US Payrolls, Trade Mixed Amid Fed Rate Speculation"

Asian stocks showed limited movement as investors awaited the release of U.S. nonfarm payrolls data for potential signals on future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The week saw overall losses in Asian markets, influenced by profit-taking and skepticism about early rate cuts by the Fed. Chinese stocks continued to underperform, while Japanese, Australian, and South Korean markets also faced weekly declines. Indian stocks remained steady with expectations of positive GDP growth estimates, while the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in March decreased according to market pricing.

via Investing.com|

##asianstocks #chinamarkets