
Oil path remains uncertain as JPMorgan admits forecasting challenge amid US-Iran war
JPMorgan told investors it cannot reliably forecast how the US-Iran war will affect oil prices, saying there is no clear endgame and that earlier red-line assumptions (oil above $100, inflation at 4%, high yields) may be outdated. The bank estimates fair value around $90 a barrel for September while noting market pricing reflects disruption risks from the Middle East and broader geopolitical tensions, including Yemen’s Houthis and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with oil prices recently trading above $100.












