
Options
All articles tagged with #options


Target Seen to Swing Most After Earnings While Walmart Remains Steady
Options traders anticipate Target (TGT) to have the largest post-earnings move (about ±8.9%), Lowe’s around ±7.7%, while Walmart (WMT) is expected to move only about ±2.7%, as all three retailers report this week; investors will watch traffic, margins, and outlook in an environment of inflation and consumer caution.

Nvidia options point to a big earnings move, but history cautions straddle bets
As Nvidia prepares to report, the options market signals a potential volatility spike with about a 6.5% move priced in and heavy upside call activity, but pre-earnings straddles have historically underperformed, posting losses in seven consecutive quarters, raising the risk of a squeeze or IV drop after the earnings release.

NVIDIA Earnings Outlook Could Reset Sky-High Options
Ahead of Nvidia's May 20 earnings, euphoric options activity has powered a squeeze; the results could reset positioning as implied volatility collapses and traders reassess the move.

Palantir’s Q1 2026 Report Could Spark a ~10% Stock Move on AI Momentum
Palantir Technologies is due to report Q1 2026 results today. The options market is pricing in roughly a 9.8% move in PLTR after earnings, with a three-quarter average around 9.28%. Analysts expect revenue to reach about $1.54B (roughly +74% YoY) and earnings near $0.28 per share, with Palantir maintaining profitability through 2026. Management’s full-year revenue target is $7.18–$7.19B, supported by AI Platform momentum and expanding US commercial demand, plus steady government contracts. The Street’s consensus is Moderate Buy with a $191.74 target (~38% upside). PLTR has fallen ~19% YTD on valuation concerns.

META Options Hint at a 7% Post-Earnings Move
META stock options traders are pricing in a roughly $49 swing, about 7%, by the May 1 weekly expiry, as shares hover near $671, signaling a sizable move post-earnings.

Meta Stock Could Dip Post-Earnings as Options Signal Risk
Meta Platforms stock faces downside risk after earnings, with options positioning and technicals hinting at a potential drop unless the stock clears around $700, as implied volatility remains elevated.

Robinhood HOOD Options Imply a $7.2B Post-Earnings Move
Robinhood's HOOD options traders are pricing in a sizable 9.59% move ahead of earnings, equating to about $8 per share or a roughly $7.2 billion swing. The near-term straddles around the $84–$85 area imply a post-earnings trading range of about $75.70 to $91.70, with call volume centering near the $85 strike and puts concentrated around the $80 strike, suggesting volatility expectations rather than a directional bet.
Rivian R2 Debuts as Limited Launch Edition, with Key Options Coming Later in 2026
Rivian will launch the R2 as a Performance Launch Edition only, with several anticipated options not available at initial production, including the Standard single-motor variant, certain wheel options, Borealis/Forest Green/Coastal Cloud colors, Signature interior, LiDAR RAP1, and Gen3 Autonomy. Some colors will arrive later in 2026, though it's unclear if Launch Edition stays exclusive. Rivian aims for 20,000–25,000 R2s in 2026, likely creating a queue for reservations; early units will be scrutinized by reviewers, while the second wave should offer a more sorted configuration.

Earnings Day Preview: Implied Moves Ahead for Major Reports
TipRanks’ earnings preview flags today’s big reports (CHTR, E, GNTX, HCA, JKS, NSC, PG, SLB, WU) and shows the implied moves derived from options prices: CHTR about ±8.77%, E ±6.04%, GNTX ±7.86%, HCA ±8.24%, JKS ±15.51%, NSC ±7.59%, PG ±3.25%, SLB ±3.93%, and WU ±9.86%. The figures help investors gauge potential post-earnings moves; click any ticker for real-time data. Note that options trading carries risk.

High-Stakes One-Day Options Could Weaken the Market’s Runway
A surge in stock-linked options—especially one-day 0DTE calls—has helped propel the April rally via delta-hedging that requires dealers to buy futures, potentially creating a self-reinforcing bid. But April’s options expiry cleared much of that upside and SpotGamma says hedging is now neutral to negative, implying dealers may need to sell futures and a sharp reversal could follow, even as the rally remains intact.

Netflix’s Q1 Earnings Preview: Options Imply ~7% Stock Swing
Netflix is due to report Q1 2026 results after the market closes, with options traders pricing in about a 7.13% move in NFLX stock in either direction—above the roughly 4.7% average post-earnings move. Analysts expect EPS of $0.79 and revenue of about $12.18 billion; price hikes and content investments underpin the outlook, and the stock carries a Strong Buy consensus with an average target near $115, implying upside.

GLJ Signals Tesla Could Re-rate Lower as Options Tailwind Fades
GLJ Research’s Gordon Johnson reiterates a Sell on Tesla (TSLA) with a $25.28 target, arguing 2026 ends the stock’s long-running options tailwind and TSLA faces a fundamental reset with sharp downside; he notes fading gamma hedging as evidence past gains were driven by option activity. TipRanks shows a Hold consensus with a $393.97 target (~14.8% upside), while TSLA is down about 23.7% year-to-date.

SMCI options flip to puts after 33% drop tied to China AI-smuggling charges
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) tumbled 33% after charges against individuals linked to the company, including a co-founder, for aiding AI technology smuggling to China. Traders piled into put options, driving up put volume and signaling a sharp shift from pre-news bullish call positioning, which was under-hedged before the announcement.

Options Playbook for a Prolonged Iran War Market Turmoil
Investors are warned that Iran’s war could last longer and disrupt oil, shipping, and markets, with volatility not fully priced in. The piece suggests hedging via put spreads on SPY and selling cash-secured puts to buy on dips, plus call spreads to position for rallies; but a longer timeline heightens risk and liquidity challenges, so patience and information-driven decisions are advised amid ongoing Fed uncertainty.