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SpaceX’s Nasdaq-100 Debut Could Turbocharge Options Activity
markets4 days ago

SpaceX’s Nasdaq-100 Debut Could Turbocharge Options Activity

SpaceX’s upcoming Nasdaq-100 inclusion is likely to lift options pricing for both the stock and the index, with about 1% weighting in QQQ and a high implied volatility around 92 (roughly 3.5x QQQ). Traders have been bullish on SpaceX options, evident in heavy call volumes—top contracts included a 450-strike call for July 17 and an 180-strike call expiring Friday—as hedges and speculative bets ride on SpaceX’s volatility. The index impact should be modest due to float restrictions, but passive buyers and hedging could keep demand for options elevated. SpaceX traded near $160 after a recent dip.

via CNBC|
#markets#nasdaq-100#options
Micron Bets on a Big Earnings Move as Options Signal High Volatility
markets16 days ago

Micron Bets on a Big Earnings Move as Options Signal High Volatility

Micron Technology’s stock slid about 13% on Tuesday ahead of its upcoming earnings, and options traders are pricing in a large move. Near-the-money June 26 straddles imply roughly a $139 swing by Friday’s close (about 13%), suggesting a post-earnings range near $920 to $1,200. Active trading on both call and put sides, with notable open interest at the $1,050 strike, indicates investors are hedging for a big move in either direction.

via Yahoo Finance|
#earnings#markets#micron
SpaceX IPO Sparks Polarized Options Bets on Big Upside and Real-World Risks
business24 days ago

SpaceX IPO Sparks Polarized Options Bets on Big Upside and Real-World Risks

SpaceX’s Nasdaq debut generated sharp option activity: pricing implies about a 15% chance the stock could rise 50% by September and roughly a 13% chance it could fall 50%, highlighting a debate over whether hype can meet fundamentals. Traders see hedges tied to future supply risk, with upside calls and downside puts reflecting concerns about lock-up supply and the lofty valuation, as investors weigh whether SpaceX can justify its lofty market cap in the coming years.

via CNBC|
#business#ipo#options
SpaceX Options Debut Sparks Early-Trading Surge, Eyes Top Slack of Big Tech
business24 days ago

SpaceX Options Debut Sparks Early-Trading Surge, Eyes Top Slack of Big Tech

SpaceX began trading its IPO on June 12, 2026, and its options quickly surged to become the third-most traded single-stock contract in the first 30 minutes, behind Tesla and Nvidia. ThinkOrSwim data show over 300,000 SpaceX options traded and more than $400 million in premiums, with the majority in calls (over $300 million). Tom Sosnoff, a veteran options trader, says SpaceX could eventually top TSLA and NVDA in liquidity once it settles in. Implied volatility was around 135, and experts caution that initial pricing may be rich and markets wide until pricing normalizes.

via CNBC|
#business#ipo#options
SpaceX Options Debut Sparks High-Stakes Bets on Post-IPO Path
markets25 days ago

SpaceX Options Debut Sparks High-Stakes Bets on Post-IPO Path

After a historic $2 trillion IPO and a 20% rally, SpaceX stock faces heavy options activity on Tuesday as traders debate whether it will break its IPO price or mount further gains; despite last quarter’s losses, optimism about AI-driven upside and the stock’s enormous TAM drives high implied volatility, with options liquidity expected to surge and SpaceX possibly becoming one of the most-traded names on day one, fueled by both retail traders and big-money institutions.

via CNBC|
#ipo#markets#options
June volatility spasm could test the nine-week stock rally, SpotGamma warns
markets1 month ago

June volatility spasm could test the nine-week stock rally, SpotGamma warns

SpotGamma warns that June’s catalyst-packed calendar could trigger a volatility spasm and test the nine-week stock rally: May CPI data due June 10 amid energy-cost pressures, SpaceX’s June 12 IPO with potential Russell index inclusion, and a busy mid-June schedule capped by a Fed decision and quadruple witching options expiry. The note points to stretched bullish positioning in AI names and hedging in IWM puts and SPY protection, plus notable XSP put-diagonal activity as traders seek downside protection. If upside demand eases and calls unwind, a sharper pullback could follow even as the market sits near record highs.

via MarketWatch|
#cpi#market-rally#markets
Semiconductor rally triggers record put-buying in SMH as hedging dominates
business1 month ago

Semiconductor rally triggers record put-buying in SMH as hedging dominates

A chip-stock rally is being hedged aggressively: SMH put open interest has surged to just under 1.7 million—the most ever—versus about 0.5 million calls, while SMH implied volatility hovers around 55%, signaling hedging activity more than pure upside bets. Single-name IV is even higher (Micron ~105%), prompting traders to favor the ETF for exposure. Some players, like Don Kaufman, are using far out‑of‑the‑money put spreads on SMH for a potential pullback, suggesting a cautious stance that could support a more durable rally if hedging remains prevalent.

via CNBC|
#business#implied-volatility#options
Palantir’s Q1 2026 Report Could Spark a ~10% Stock Move on AI Momentum
market-news2 months ago

Palantir’s Q1 2026 Report Could Spark a ~10% Stock Move on AI Momentum

Palantir Technologies is due to report Q1 2026 results today. The options market is pricing in roughly a 9.8% move in PLTR after earnings, with a three-quarter average around 9.28%. Analysts expect revenue to reach about $1.54B (roughly +74% YoY) and earnings near $0.28 per share, with Palantir maintaining profitability through 2026. Management’s full-year revenue target is $7.18–$7.19B, supported by AI Platform momentum and expanding US commercial demand, plus steady government contracts. The Street’s consensus is Moderate Buy with a $191.74 target (~38% upside). PLTR has fallen ~19% YTD on valuation concerns.

via TipRanks|
#ai#earnings#market-news