All articles tagged with #options
GLJ Research’s Gordon Johnson reiterates a Sell on Tesla (TSLA) with a $25.28 target, arguing 2026 ends the stock’s long-running options tailwind and TSLA faces a fundamental reset with sharp downside; he notes fading gamma hedging as evidence past gains were driven by option activity. TipRanks shows a Hold consensus with a $393.97 target (~14.8% upside), while TSLA is down about 23.7% year-to-date.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) tumbled 33% after charges against individuals linked to the company, including a co-founder, for aiding AI technology smuggling to China. Traders piled into put options, driving up put volume and signaling a sharp shift from pre-news bullish call positioning, which was under-hedged before the announcement.
Investors are warned that Iran’s war could last longer and disrupt oil, shipping, and markets, with volatility not fully priced in. The piece suggests hedging via put spreads on SPY and selling cash-secured puts to buy on dips, plus call spreads to position for rallies; but a longer timeline heightens risk and liquidity challenges, so patience and information-driven decisions are advised amid ongoing Fed uncertainty.
As Iran tensions intensify, U.S. equity options traders are pricing a potential crash, with demand for out-of-the-money puts on Big Tech and Nasdaq-100 ETFs rising. Nomura’s Charlie McElligott says there’s an asymmetric rebound opportunity: selling puts and buying calls could profit if markets bounce, even as the S&P 500 stays near record highs and volatility (VIX) remains around the mid-20s.
CRM is set to report Q4 after hours on Feb 26; current options price in an about 9.6% post-earnings move as investors weigh AI monetization, margins, and cloud spend. Analysts expect around $11.19B in revenue and $3.05 per share, with guidance of $11.13–$11.23B revenue and $3.02–$3.04 EPS. A strong beat could boost Salesforce’s AI roadmap momentum, while softer guidance could spark volatility. Street consensus remains a Moderate Buy with roughly 60% upside to about $299.
CoreWeave (CRWV) is set to report Q4 2025 results on Feb 26 amid cautious optimism as data-center demand and AI spending support the business; options traders expect about a 17.11% move on the print. The Street projects a loss of about $0.50 per share on roughly $1.55 billion in revenue. Analysts are mixed but generally positive on long-term catalysts, with Roth Capital and Wells Fargo issuing bullish targets around $110–$125, while TipRanks AI Analyst remains neutral; risks include high debt, customer concentration, and the funding needs for data-center expansion.
NVDA faces a delicate post-earnings setup: options positioning is bullish but implied volatility is primed to collapse from around 60% to 30%, which would squeeze option premiums regardless of earnings. To profit on calls, NVDA needs to clear roughly $200; if it stalls, gamma hedging and call unwinds could push shares toward support near $170.
Robinhood Markets is set to report Q4 2025 results on February 10, with the options market pricing an 11.76% move in HOOD stock post-earnings—above the four-quarter average. Analysts expect EPS of $0.63 on revenue of about $1.35B, while investors focus on trading activity, crypto revenue, user growth, and product progress; management guidance could matter if volatility persists. TipRanks rates HOOD Strong Buy with a $150.73 target, implying roughly 82% upside.
During Thursday’s sharp Bitcoin sell-off, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) saw a record surge in options trading—about 2.33 million contracts with roughly $900 million in premiums—primarily in puts versus calls, suggesting investors were hedging downside risk rather than selling the ETF. IBIT traded around $39.68 after a nearly 10% intraday gain, though the ETF remains down around 31% in the last month and 34% in 2025 as Bitcoin’s volatility persists; Friday’s rebound followed the drop and kept IBIT under close watch as institutional positioning in Bitcoin grows through the ETF’s options market.
Bitcoin jumped back above $70,000—up nearly 11% and on track for its biggest one‑day gain since March 2023—as risk assets steadied after a rout; the move came amid a surge in demand for downside protection in the options market, with February 27 expiry concentrated around $60k–$50k strikes via Derive.xyz. Ether also rose, while the broader crypto market remains well off its October peak, illustrating a fragile bounce tied to tech and metals rallies and ongoing risk-management concerns.
On Friday’s 46-year gold plunge, options traders bet the metal could reach $20,000 per ounce by year-end, per SocGen, with open interest rising as investors positioned for extreme outcomes; analysts say the move reflects positioning and ETF flows rather than fundamentals, and SocGen remains bullish on gold, viewing the correction as healthy.
TipRanks highlights today’s earnings with implied-move estimates from options data: before-market moves for ARLP (+8.73%), APTV (+8.75%), IDXX (+10.70%), TSN (+6.98%), DIS (+6.38%); after-market moves for NXPI (+8.48%), SPG (+4.77%), TER (+13.23%), TWO (+13.34%), PLTR (+10.47%). The piece notes options-based forecasting and warns of trading risks, encouraging further research.
Boeing is set to report Q4 2025 results after the close on Jan. 27; TipRanks traders expect about a 4.72% move in BA shares in response. Street estimates show a narrower loss of $0.45 per share on revenue around $22.25 billion as production/delivery activity improves, with focus on the 737 MAX and 787 programs. Investors will scrutinize cash flow, margins, and 2026 guidance, while analysts maintain a Strong Buy consensus with an average target near $248.77, implying upside.
Michael Burry stated on a Substack post that he owns GameStop and has been buying recently, signaling a long-term thesis and possible value near tangible book value. The disclosure sparked a rally as GME traded around $24.15 (up ~4%), with heavy volume and a surge in short-dated call options (strikes near $20–$25) as traders bet on more upside and link the move to meme-stock dynamics tied to Ryan Cohen.
