Kashkari Signals a Single Rate Hike by Year-End

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said he now expects one rate increase by year-end, revising his prior view of a year-end rate cut. He notes inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% goal (headline 4.1%, core 3.4%) and argues supply-driven pressures—from tariffs to energy disruptions and heavy investments in data-center infrastructure—could keep prices elevated, making a cautious rate hike likely depending on incoming data after the Fed held rates steady.