Recession Fears Subside as Economic Growth Surpasses Expectations

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Source: WOLF STREET
TL;DR Summary

Despite expectations of a recession, the US economy has experienced stronger than feared economic growth, with the GDP growth rate adjusted for inflation reaching 2.0% annualized, surpassing market expectations. Factors contributing to this growth include increased consumer spending, higher government investment and consumption, a smaller trade deficit, and a slight decrease in gross private domestic investment. The Federal Reserve's projection of 1% GDP growth for 2023 has been exceeded, leading to a surge in Treasury yields as bond prices fell. The 10-year yield rose to 3.86%, and the two-year yield spiked to 4.89%, reflecting anticipation of prolonged economic growth.

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