Megaconstellations shrink Low Earth Orbit’s safety margin from months to days

Researchers introduce the CRASH Clock to estimate how long low Earth orbit could remain safe if satellites could no longer dodge each other; the margin fell from 164 days in 2018 to 5.5 days in 2025 as megaconstellations expanded, underscoring that LEO is now an infrastructure-like shared space requiring continuous coordination, accurate tracking, and robust data to prevent a rapid cascade of near-misses.