Trump Emphasizes Fed Independence as Warsh Takes the Chair

President Trump used Kevin Warsh’s swearing-in as Federal Reserve Chair to stress Fed independence, telling Warsh to “do your own thing” and avoid White House pressure, in a backdrop of a 3.75% federal funds rate, sticky inflation around the high end of its range, and a flat yield curve. Markets are pricing independence as a key driver of the rate path, leaving three big questions for Warsh: whether the data permits further cuts, whether the curve resolves, and whether independence holds if policy and politics diverge.